Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: SC Freiburg (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab101dd8d07954948993b2ee1cd1741ff50e4f521830de3a4f7bd323c769da08
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MH Maccabi Tel Avivof SC Freiburg, MH Maccabi Tel Aviv
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,945
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,596
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,945 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed MH Maccabi Tel Aviv | 77c | 5,979$4,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,361.77 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed SC Freiburg | 20c | 2,265$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.22 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked SC Freiburg | 27c | 1,144$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.99 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x176e…8f96backed SC Freiburg | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked MH Maccabi Tel Aviv | 67c | 455.55$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.33 | 129 | 55.8%72 W · 57 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd90d…97e5backed SC Freiburg | 35c | 402.23$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.69 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +59%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed SC Freiburg | 36c | 400$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed SC Freiburg | 35c | 286.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 147 | 33.3%49 W · 98 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…1b9cbacked SC Freiburg | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed SC Freiburg | 41c | 258.07$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.81 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed SC Freiburg | 32c | 227.16$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.75 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked SC Freiburg | 36c | 199.98$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.99 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9165…5b98backed SC Freiburg | 40c | 177.5$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed MH Maccabi Tel Aviv | 61c | 169.34$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.43 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed SC Freiburg | 37c | 166$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.24 | 158 | 46.8%74 W · 84 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed MH Maccabi Tel Aviv | 64c | 165$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked SC Freiburg | 22c | 156.25$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.38 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad7…c097backed SC Freiburg | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ca…0d75backed SC Freiburg | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1809…0d24backed MH Maccabi Tel Aviv | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed MH Maccabi Tel Aviv | 64c | 146$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.56 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.19per pick | 40cpaid | -55%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2efb…ef8dbacked SC Freiburg | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed SC Freiburg | 33c | 119.52$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.44 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48a9…0d53backed MH Maccabi Tel Aviv | 64c | 113$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.68 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25bb…fa19backed SC Freiburg | 37c | 110$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed MH Maccabi Tel Aviv | 64c | 105$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…7d5fbacked SC Freiburg | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed MH Maccabi Tel Aviv | 65c | 98.05$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.44 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed SC Freiburg | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 266 | 47.4%126 W · 140 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3be…1015backed SC Freiburg | 35c | 71.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked SC Freiburg | 36c | 70.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed SC Freiburg | 38c | 45.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…7ca5backed SC Freiburg | 36c | 44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 66cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x942b…e25ebacked MH Maccabi Tel Aviv | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00c0…4523backed SC Freiburg | 36c | 39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbba…e95bbacked SC Freiburg | 36c | 37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…eda7backed MH Maccabi Tel Aviv | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.36per pick | 53cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f57…6d41backed SC Freiburg | 36c | 33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed SC Freiburg | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked SC Freiburg | 36c | 29.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7219…fcf7backed SC Freiburg | 36c | 29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc7…55f6backed MH Maccabi Tel Aviv | 65c | 19.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed MH Maccabi Tel Aviv | 68c | 19.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x416a…00a1backed MH Maccabi Tel Aviv | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: SC Freiburg (-2.5)this page
- SC Freiburg vs. MH Maccabi Tel Aviv: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- SC Freiburg vs. MH Maccabi Tel Aviv: O/U 1.5Under won
- SC Freiburg vs. MH Maccabi Tel Aviv: O/U 2.5Under won
- SC Freiburg vs. MH Maccabi Tel Aviv: O/U 3.5Under won
- SC Freiburg vs. MH Maccabi Tel Aviv: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.