Europa Conference League · resolved market
SC Freiburg vs. MH Maccabi Tel Aviv: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x518d544d56a120a8ff361c08890f9c4378787c164c987950590ac598153d3672
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,885
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,928
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,885 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 7c | 15,284$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.68 | 3,247 | 42.2%1,370 W · 1,877 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 55c | 8,972$4,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,041.34 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Under | 16c | 6,364$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,345.6 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 16c | 5,449$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,577.16 | 351 | 58.1%204 W · 147 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 25c | 4,169$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.38 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Under | 17c | 3,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,489.98 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Over | 4c | 2,672$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.88 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | +7.9wins | +0.14per pick | 23cpaid | +104.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked Under | 16c | 1,945$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,634 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1414…ae7bbacked Over | 54c | 1,300$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702 | 27 | 81.5%22 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 70cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe533…ab29backed Over | 48c | 1,000$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Under | 17c | 800$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664 | 190 | 27.4%52 W · 138 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 15c | 629.1$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.85 | 1,034 | 50.8%525 W · 509 L | +16.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 17c | 607.97$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.12 | 139 | 20.1%28 W · 111 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 16c | 420$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.8 | 129 | 48.8%63 W · 66 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d0…ee5abacked Over | 7c | 288.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 14c | 278.87$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.83 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 66c | 257.02$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.72 | 73 | 64.4%47 W · 26 L | +9.3wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Over | 58c | 250.53$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.31 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x782e…b317backed Over | 56c | 242.57$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.84 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ed…e29fbacked Over | 17c | 240.88$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -74%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | -11.2wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x03dc…132abacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 26c | 180.89$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.1 | 749 | 39.4%295 W · 454 L | -23.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 20c | 132.04$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.06 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 15c | 129$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6271…4ac6backed Over | 17c | 121$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 80c | 110$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 32c | 106.25$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 76 | 28.9%22 W · 54 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Over | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Under | 16c | 100$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked Under | 16c | 100$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0982…7ab7backed Over | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…807dbacked Over | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…856cbacked Under | 16c | 80$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 54c | 79.63$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d0c…a3e0backed Under | 17c | 78.82$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.42 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +3.0wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +357.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xde77…8cd3backed Over | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.19per pick | 64cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e3…0d1abacked Over | 23c | 65.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 195 | 45.6%89 W · 106 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 38c | 60.03$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Over | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 52c | 49.65$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.84 | 442 | 51.6%228 W · 214 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 46c | 43.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 381 | 51.2%195 W · 186 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over | 60c | 43.33$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 75 | 28%21 W · 54 L | -9.5wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -41%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 251 | 49.4%124 W · 127 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0156…2ddcbacked Over | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1415backed Over | 53c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 73c | 21.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SC Freiburg vs. MH Maccabi Tel Aviv: O/U 1.5this page
- SC Freiburg vs. MH Maccabi Tel Aviv: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- SC Freiburg vs. MH Maccabi Tel Aviv: O/U 2.5Under won
- SC Freiburg vs. MH Maccabi Tel Aviv: O/U 3.5Under won
- SC Freiburg vs. MH Maccabi Tel Aviv: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: SC Freiburg (-2.5)MH Maccabi Tel Aviv won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.