Europa Conference League · resolved market
FC Utrecht vs. KRC Genk: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa330653fb57bf85558637f989f557c2226e2ec7e99733c87c99243d5aab57acf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,837
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,078
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,837 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 25c | 10,896$2,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,757.06 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5f…4b52backed Under | 75c | 7,350$5,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,837.5 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Under | 71c | 5,627$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,626.51 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +23%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Under | 78c | 2,742$2,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.29 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 76cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 29c | 1,500$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 219 | 25.6%56 W · 163 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 29c | 1,379$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.41 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Over | 25c | 1,235$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.97 | 55 | 18.2%10 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 71c | 1,005$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.52 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over | 30c | 595.01$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.5 | 139 | 20.1%28 W · 111 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 31c | 483.87$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -8.0wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 31c | 322.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 6c | 260$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 17c | 192.65$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 8c | 179.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 25c | 157.35$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.34 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…f3c4backed Over | 29c | 153.59$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.54 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 71c | 140$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 200 | 56.5%113 W · 87 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bae…5c82backed Over | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…106ebacked Over | 30c | 46.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c46…fcd6backed Over | 30c | 42.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b67…4ac4backed Over | 31c | 40.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…2ed5backed Over | 30c | 34.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ed…6cdabacked Over | 31c | 33.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Under | 79c | 31.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7380…6929backed Under | 72c | 20.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x277b…2baabacked Under | 72c | 20.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…d941backed Under | 70c | 19.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5e…8919backed Under | 70c | 18.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.49 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.39per pick | 44cpaid | +120.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8486…81a8backed Under | 71c | 18.27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd854…ad82backed Under | 72c | 16.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c1…29d3backed Under | 70c | 15.44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8178…9111backed Under | 70c | 15.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72cf…eec6backed Under | 71c | 14.72$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.27 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e1…d1bcbacked Under | 71c | 14.51$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9257…ed5fbacked Under | 71c | 14.21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.12 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 63cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Utrecht vs. KRC Genk: O/U 3.5this page
- FC Utrecht vs. KRC Genk: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Utrecht vs. KRC Genk: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Utrecht vs. KRC Genk: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Utrecht vs. KRC Genk: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Utrecht (-1.5)KRC Genk won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.