Europa Conference League · resolved market
FC Utrecht vs. KRC Genk: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x893b07b4f2d09bad207a51efe3342f94d5e6771860b547c6461b316cba48e707
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,600
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,937
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,600 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 75c | 4,508$3,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.42 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Under | 49c | 4,507$2,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,298.55 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +23%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Over | 19c | 2,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 51c | 1,973$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.47 | 351 | 58.1%204 W · 147 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 66c | 1,303$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.76 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Over | 19c | 1,250$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.5 | 55 | 18.2%10 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa98…b8f7backed Over | 31c | 765.15$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 18c | 547.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 63 | 23.8%15 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Over | 51c | 540$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.4 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -8.0wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x43de…d169backed Over | 53c | 311.32$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Under | 49c | 298.39$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.18 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 34c | 278.79$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.79 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…0927backed Over | 52c | 240.38$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 48c | 230.17$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.66 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…196fbacked Under | 80c | 225$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2d…379dbacked Over | 28c | 217.08$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.3 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecd6…5f03backed Over | 53c | 212.04$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Over | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…1b9cbacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e28…df76backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7c…e75cbacked Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Over | 54c | 184.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 19c | 184.35$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f51…41edbacked Over | 53c | 165.34$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.63 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 25c | 164.48$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.74 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 41c | 160.91$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.44 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea51…a876backed Over | 53c | 132.08$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over | 54c | 121.24$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 75 | 28%21 W · 54 L | -9.5wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -41%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x079e…fef9backed Over | 26c | 114.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b3…6c72backed Over | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 47c | 105$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.65 | 180 | 49.4%89 W · 91 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc8…c57bbacked Over | 51c | 104.71$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.92 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 146 | 41.1%60 W · 86 L | -14.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 52c | 78.35$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.74 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Over | 53c | 66.04$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 53c | 66.04$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0e…2b59backed Under | 47c | 63.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.92 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Under | 49c | 61.37$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.37 | 80 | 62.5%50 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 32c | 51.92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x884d…1da6backed Under | 48c | 49.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…630fbacked Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 239 | 49.4%118 W · 121 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 75c | 39.49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78ba…17c7backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 40c | 37.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x622a…9099backed Over | 53c | 31.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 45c | 29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5256…4973backed Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16fc…2fdebacked Over | 52c | 28.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Over | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca0…7ebebacked Over | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Utrecht vs. KRC Genk: O/U 2.5this page
- FC Utrecht vs. KRC Genk: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Utrecht vs. KRC Genk: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Utrecht vs. KRC Genk: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Utrecht vs. KRC Genk: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Utrecht (-1.5)KRC Genk won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.