Ligue 1 · resolved market
Spread: RC Strasbourg Alsace (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8fe7fcee62365dd3f90329dbf834af50419ff3e49ff48ac6e6786eabdece7510
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FC Metzof RC Strasbourg Alsace, FC Metz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,350
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,808
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,350 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed FC Metz | 57c | 58,961$33,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,376.04 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7caf…058bbacked RC Strasbourg Alsace | 43c | 29,424$12,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,652.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 42c | 17,918$7,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,541.59 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked RC Strasbourg Alsace | 44c | 10,000$4,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,349.99 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…a816backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 43c | 5,488$2,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,360 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed FC Metz | 62c | 2,445$1,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.68 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked RC Strasbourg Alsace | 42c | 880.64$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.87 | 173 | 29.5%51 W · 122 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5f…4b52backed FC Metz | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.07 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 74cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed FC Metz | 57c | 761.75$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.28 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +25%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed FC Metz | 57c | 733$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.19 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked RC Strasbourg Alsace | 32c | 565$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.83 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed FC Metz | 60c | 400$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed FC Metz | 57c | 373.96$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.8 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 41c | 364.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.65 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed FC Metz | 56c | 292.25$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.59 | 231 | 51.5%119 W · 112 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked RC Strasbourg Alsace | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e07…7703backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 45c | 153.33$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked FC Metz | 56c | 102$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.88 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked FC Metz | 56c | 99.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked RC Strasbourg Alsace | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked FC Metz | 56c | 80$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.6 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked RC Strasbourg Alsace | 47c | 59.15$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.06 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb966…cac6backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 28cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked FC Metz | 57c | 35.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85a4…7412backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 45c | 35.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.31per pick | 47cpaid | -63%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed FC Metz | 55c | 33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked FC Metz | 60c | 30.1$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed FC Metz | 57c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked RC Strasbourg Alsace | 45c | 23.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4d…43afbacked FC Metz | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: RC Strasbourg Alsace (-1.5)this page
- RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. FC Metz: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. FC Metz: O/U 1.5Over won
- RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. FC Metz: O/U 2.5Over won
- RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. FC Metz: O/U 3.5Under won
- RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. FC Metz: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.