TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. FC Metz: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$178,073
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$178,507

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $178,073 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd0b4…fed6backed Over57c89,165$50,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,404.482356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Under43c50,000$21,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,5003423.5%8 W · 26 L-6.5wins-0.19per pick43cpaid-41.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Over57c48,851$27,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,006.113756.8%21 W · 16 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+24.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under43c40,880$17,578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,578.462648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under43c13,996$6,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,003.1871140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Under43c10,000$4,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,3006454.7%35 W · 29 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over57c9,000$5,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,829.9912839.8%51 W · 77 L-9.8wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under39c7,321$2,884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,884.221,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under43c6,885$2,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,960.0535650.6%180 W · 176 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x538a…0823backed Over57c5,135$2,927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,208.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36c1…750dbacked Under41c3,552$1,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,456.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2621…641cbacked Under41c3,525$1,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,445.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0aea…f7c2backed Under41c3,207$1,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,315.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…ae7cbacked Under41c3,088$1,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,266.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Under43c3,000$1,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2905060%30 W · 20 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+28.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under43c3,000$1,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2906060%36 W · 24 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+17.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x869b…64eebacked Over59c2,341$1,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under44c2,275$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0013551.4%18 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204b…7ec2backed Over59c2,255$1,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$924.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85d2…82c0backed Over59c2,088$1,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$856.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a76…c8f8backed Over59c2,011$1,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$824.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ba4…8a89backed Under43c1,600$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68880%0 W · 8 L-3.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xcdf9…3e2cbacked Over59c1,417$836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8c9…51aebacked Over59c1,253$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a81…a239backed Over59c1,121$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under43c986.09$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.7987344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ba1…54d0backed Over59c886$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Over56c885.83$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.832572%18 W · 7 L+4.2wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+23.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under43c800$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3446756.7%38 W · 29 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+17.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Under44c739$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.165942.4%25 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2d0…6078backed Under43c650$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.5425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-35.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Under44c600$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2643951.3%20 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under42c560$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.86926.1%18 W · 51 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dbc…18a0backed Under16c500$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under43c420$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.617756.5%100 W · 77 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under43c420$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.613655.9%76 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under43c420$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.67163.4%45 W · 26 L+8.7wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+28.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Under43c400$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17210545.7%48 W · 57 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb53c…eb0cbacked Under44c400$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under43c400$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17223260.8%141 W · 91 L+15.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over57c399.99$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1724362.8%27 W · 16 L+5.0wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+25%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under43c330$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.911256.3%63 W · 49 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under43c330$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.911556.5%65 W · 50 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Under8c317$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3633938.1%129 W · 210 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Under43c300$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12910948.6%53 W · 56 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under43c300$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1298263.4%52 W · 30 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under43c300$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12910952.3%57 W · 52 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x329c…18dfbacked Under43c300$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+26.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under43c250$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.55364.2%34 W · 19 L+7.0wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under43c250$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.58460.7%51 W · 33 L+8.9wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+26.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under43c250$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.520860.6%126 W · 82 L+12.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under43c220$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.69355.9%52 W · 41 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f84…8f53backed Under17c217.71$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Under43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$866150.8%31 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$869752.6%51 W · 46 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$869954.5%54 W · 45 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Under43c190$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.78653.5%46 W · 40 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Under43c180$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.44562.2%28 W · 17 L+5.9wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+33%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under43c180$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.49158.2%53 W · 38 L+7.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under43c170$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.18355.4%46 W · 37 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under43c170$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.14656.5%26 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under43c170$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.110653.8%57 W · 49 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under43c170$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.18355.4%46 W · 37 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under43c170$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.18755.2%48 W · 39 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Under43c170$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.14759.6%28 W · 19 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+20.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under43c170$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.19355.9%52 W · 41 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under43c160$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.88858%51 W · 37 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+16.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under26c151.23$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8759348.4%287 W · 306 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under43c150$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.57655.3%42 W · 34 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5565…7693backed Under42c150$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63580%4 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.39per pick41cpaid+94.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under43c150$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.54557.8%26 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Over59c140.68$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.6823250.9%118 W · 114 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d61…d43cbacked Under43c120$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.62259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Under43c120$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.63464.7%22 W · 12 L+3.6wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+26%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Under43c120$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.69354.8%51 W · 42 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Under43c120$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.63562.9%22 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+21.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under43c120$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.610556.2%59 W · 46 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Under43c120$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.63560%21 W · 14 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+19.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Under43c120$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.610756.1%60 W · 47 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Under43c120$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.67452.7%39 W · 35 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Under43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433265.6%21 W · 11 L+5.0wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+36.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa7b5…798cbacked Under43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435451.9%28 W · 26 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f65…cdd3backed Under43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Under43c96.38$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.448942.7%38 W · 51 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under31c95$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.73351.5%17 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2104…82d7backed Over58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.213174.2%23 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over72c86.11$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.119262%57 W · 35 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Under43c80$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.45052%26 W · 24 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Over57c70.46$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.3580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+34.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Under43c70$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.110652.8%56 W · 50 L+0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa08a…ad51backed Under29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Under43c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.83161.3%19 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+17.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Under43c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.84062.5%25 W · 15 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+20.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Under43c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.810158.4%59 W · 42 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+20.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked Under43c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.85356.6%30 W · 23 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Under43c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.83253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed Under43c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.84656.5%26 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+16.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Under43c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.87857.7%45 W · 33 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+19.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Under43c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.84259.5%25 W · 17 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Under43c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.82657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.