Champions League · resolved market
AFC Ajax vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe91afed2cf59036aa2263e56d7928a5ae8ee85d54b1b46ccf679cf12ef664753
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,143
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,522
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,143 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 24c | 13,678$3,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,245.33 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Over | 78c | 5,147$4,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.38 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Over | 78c | 3,000$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43bf…713cbacked Over | 80c | 2,514$2,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.89 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 24c | 1,828$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.47 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 20c | 1,717$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.65 | 597 | 41.7%249 W · 348 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75dd…171dbacked Over | 80c | 1,522$1,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.36 | 21 | 85.7%18 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 75cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Under | 52c | 876.92$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 80c | 749.99$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 78c | 450$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 383 | 56.7%217 W · 166 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over | 78c | 450$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 213 | 54%115 W · 98 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 78c | 400$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 78c | 400$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 156 | 57.1%89 W · 67 L | +10.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 80c | 375$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 34 | 82.4%28 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 72cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Under | 19c | 323$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.95 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 50c | 300.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.5 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Over | 78c | 299.99$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 283 | 57.2%162 W · 121 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 22c | 255.92$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.79 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 78c | 250$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 469 | 56.5%265 W · 204 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Under | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x995e…534cbacked Under | 42c | 220$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.45 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +80%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 256 | 59.8%153 W · 103 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 187 | 54.5%102 W · 85 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 78c | 190$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.8 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Over | 78c | 170$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.4 | 137 | 51.8%71 W · 66 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Over | 78c | 170$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.4 | 162 | 51.2%83 W · 79 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Over | 78c | 160$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 156 | 51.3%80 W · 76 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Over | 78c | 150$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 183 | 50.3%92 W · 91 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…4287backed Under | 22c | 140.27$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.86 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa936…3b90backed Over | 67c | 124.52$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.59 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Over | 78c | 120$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 117 | 47%55 W · 62 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Over | 78c | 120$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Over | 78c | 120$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 50c | 119.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.07 | 424 | 38%161 W · 263 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Over | 52c | 101$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.48 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Over | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked Over | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Over | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3171…0e8abacked Over | 50c | 96.1$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked Over | 78c | 80$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…d938backed Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaa…3ea5backed Over | 79c | 75.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 39c | 64.91$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 200 | 42.5%85 W · 115 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed Over | 78c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…3f2fbacked Over | 78c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Over | 78c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed Over | 78c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed Over | 78c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb8…85b9backed Under | 41c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 198 | 56.6%112 W · 86 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over | 50c | 52$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 20c | 51.35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 434 | 27.4%119 W · 315 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 50c | 51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1415backed Over | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 39c | 47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 69c | 43.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.55 | 107 | 60.7%65 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…ee2ebacked Over | 79c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ba…e7eebacked Over | 80c | 35.69$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 63cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +8.1wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Over | 71c | 28.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 68 | 67.6%46 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x649a…02afbacked Over | 76c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 70cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 50c | 25.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 274 | 50.7%139 W · 135 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xece5…43cfbacked Over | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…2d57backed Under | 52c | 24.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e3…05e1backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b3…6c72backed Over | 70c | 17.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.16 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AFC Ajax vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 1.5this page
- AFC Ajax vs. Olympiakós SFP: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- AFC Ajax vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 2.5Over won
- AFC Ajax vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 3.5Under won
- AFC Ajax vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.