CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae70f1098515be0340a4e54ae9cb0986c3a90ed992d9743c752a7bfd2ff25f5c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $140,606
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $140,892
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $140,606 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Over | 48c | 130,000$62,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,399.97 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Under | 52c | 93,565$48,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,911.06 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5475…c3dcbacked Under | 52c | 6,424$3,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,083.52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed Under | 52c | 5,655$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,714.16 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd2…f8a0backed Under | 52c | 5,386$2,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,585.09 | 187 | 52.4%98 W · 89 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Under | 52c | 5,351$2,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,568.71 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…394cbacked Under | 52c | 3,714$1,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,782.92 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d4…9b41backed Under | 52c | 1,998$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Under | 52c | 1,837$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.54 | 178 | 47.2%84 W · 94 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa5…4f56backed Under | 52c | 1,257$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.14 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +6.1wins | +0.24per pick | 44cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 58c | 1,233$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.59 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Under | 52c | 1,131$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.78 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf0…ad64backed Under | 52c | 874.87$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.94 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Under | 53c | 764.29$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.65 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67cc…942fbacked Under | 52c | 719.23$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.23 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42ac…7b70backed Under | 52c | 664.54$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.98 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 52c | 624$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.52 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Under | 53c | 487.1$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.78 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 48c | 478.84$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.38 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 54c | 456.65$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.35 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Under | 57c | 393.62$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.62 | 209 | 44%92 W · 117 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9798…12d2backed Over | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Over | 45c | 319.15$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.69 | 172 | 30.8%53 W · 119 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3994…ff63backed Over | 16c | 316.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…c36abacked Under | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Under | 52c | 239.35$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.89 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5e…269bbacked Over | 47c | 220$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.2 | 420 | 50%210 W · 210 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 53c | 215.05$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.19 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa090…9854backed Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Over | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Over | 53c | 195.11$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.54 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Over | 55c | 181.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 767 | 48%368 W · 399 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 50c | 143.06$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.53 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 43c | 122.18$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.99 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Under | 70c | 118.39$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb52e…cdcebacked Over | 66c | 114.7$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.7 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481d…48cfbacked Over | 47c | 110$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb007…7f04backed Over | 27c | 109$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.43 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked Over | 53c | 91.59$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.69 | 608 | 57.2%348 W · 260 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 56c | 85$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.37 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Under | 62c | 79$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.97 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Over | 50c | 61.28$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.64 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Under | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb95…a5ccbacked Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Under | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…30d2backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 54c | 45.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Over | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 137 | 40.9%56 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…0a4abacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked Over | 42c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 821 | 46.3%380 W · 441 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…5b45backed Over | 62c | 33.39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…9e5bbacked Over | 49c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9021…bf4ebacked Over | 49c | 25.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…a742backed Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 169 | 50.9%86 W · 83 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group AFUT Esports won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports - Map 1 WinnerFUT Esports won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports - Map 2 WinnerFUT Esports won
- Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)FUT Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.