CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x184dee72dfa7a0ef234722e4c64780c5d8ef49a05563ea1f61486f177e64b3c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FUT Esportsof FURIA, FUT Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,942
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,011
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,942 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7645…3117backed FURIA | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,879.98 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x098b…1fa5backed FURIA | 47c | 3,817$1,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,793.98 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed FUT Esports | 53c | 2,054$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.26 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x757d…1496backed FUT Esports | 53c | 1,600$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed FUT Esports | 53c | 1,132$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.08 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…8795backed FUT Esports | 53c | 1,004$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.77 | 173 | 47.4%82 W · 91 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed FUT Esports | 53c | 950$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.5 | 103 | 35.9%37 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x331a…ff18backed FUT Esports | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed FUT Esports | 53c | 226.42$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.42 | 503 | 40.2%202 W · 301 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed FUT Esports | 53c | 109.43$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked FUT Esports | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 535 | 45%241 W · 294 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764f…846ebacked FUT Esports | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9d…9b0ebacked FUT Esports | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 232 | 34.9%81 W · 151 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed FUT Esports | 49c | 28.07$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.23 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group AFUT Esports won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports - Map 1 WinnerFUT Esports won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports - Map 2 WinnerFUT Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.