Bundesliga · resolved market
VfL Bochum vs. FC Schalke 04: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x224168554c2f06407a1aec9808d6b3a04b379ddeb74f7fb7afb1b9593ad09121
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,897
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,336
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,897 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 36c | 5,051$1,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,226.91 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…5018backed Over | 70c | 2,861$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -50%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0801…35cbbacked Over | 78c | 2,300$1,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,787.61 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 25c | 1,771$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.58 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 32c | 1,585$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.66 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 52c | 959.5$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.95 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 47c | 600$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0666…d31abacked Over | 68c | 588.58$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.02 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…6b82backed Over | 79c | 584.64$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.82 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 31c | 540.7$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.98 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Over | 50c | 499$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.5 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 68c | 323.68$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 142 | 60.6%86 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -6.3wins | -0.12per pick | 61cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…5ac3backed Under | 13c | 250$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.5 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +24%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Over | 49c | 210$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f51…41edbacked Over | 48c | 208.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 45c | 200.99$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.3 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 54c | 183.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…a2d6backed Over | 80c | 183.98$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.18 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +108.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Over | 66c | 150.51$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 51c | 134.52$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Under | 15c | 120.87$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.74 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87ba…e7eebacked Over | 49c | 117.56$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.03 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad7…c097backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Over | 67c | 101$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.39 | 117 | 62.4%73 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0f…bbfebacked Over | 79c | 100$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 49c | 99.19$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.92 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 15c | 95.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.59 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc752…1f6cbacked Over | 49c | 94.7$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13cb…f258backed Over | 49c | 87.02$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.64 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over | 37c | 86.75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22ea…0d10backed Over | 71c | 83.38$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…3ab4backed Over | 47c | 77.15$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.52 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 80c | 73.75$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 70c | 71.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 120 | 69.2%83 W · 37 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a78…f457backed Over | 49c | 69.37$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 43c | 69.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.57 | 241 | 32%77 W · 164 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a72…ce3ebacked Over | 49c | 65.41$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc36…3054backed Over | 49c | 60.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 116 | 35.3%41 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81c7…8b51backed Over | 49c | 50.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 68cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…630fbacked Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0a…6b9fbacked Over | 50c | 49.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 65c | 46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 225 | 62.2%140 W · 85 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 41c | 45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.7 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…0a4abacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Under | 51c | 39.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…c817backed Under | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd18b…876dbacked Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 53c | 27.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.21 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0919…fcbcbacked Under | 53c | 27.34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 71c | 25.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 108 | 63%68 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0068…1b85backed Over | 71c | 25.21$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf6…c75bbacked Over | 64c | 18.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…66e2backed Over | 69c | 16.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- VfL Bochum vs. FC Schalke 04: O/U 2.5this page
- VfL Bochum vs. FC Schalke 04: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- VfL Bochum vs. FC Schalke 04: O/U 1.5Over won
- VfL Bochum vs. FC Schalke 04: O/U 3.5Under won
- VfL Bochum vs. FC Schalke 04: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.