TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Bologna FC 1909 vs. Celtic FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$60,480
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$66,657

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,480 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0748…a31ebacked Under47c31,155$14,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,58120%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Over53c10,000$5,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,700.168245.1%37 W · 45 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2cdb…4d30backed Over53c10,000$5,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,699.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under47c5,375$2,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,501.0984850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under34c3,547$1,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,205.623,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Over53c3,000$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4105545.5%25 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over53c3,000$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4107143.7%31 W · 40 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e16…a795backed Under47c2,128$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd550…9228backed Under47c1,915$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+32.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Over54c1,667$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766.679748.5%47 W · 50 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over53c843.36$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.542,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over53c829.99$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.49148.4%44 W · 47 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Over69c724.64$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.641258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick63cpaid+3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under47c600$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28233349.8%166 W · 167 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb53c…eb0cbacked Over55c599.96$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.252634.6%9 W · 17 L-4.3wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-32.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Over55c599.96$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.745738.6%22 W · 35 L-6.9wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-24%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf788…6f86backed Over54c555.56$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.569164.8%59 W · 32 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick70cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over54c502.33$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.074841.7%20 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-20.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over54c481.48$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.485026%13 W · 37 L-8.0wins-0.16per pick42cpaid-48.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under32c450$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14420132.3%65 W · 136 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Under47c436.94$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.363444.1%15 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over53c420$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.414252.1%74 W · 68 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over53c420$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.412948.8%63 W · 66 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over53c420$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.48444%37 W · 47 L-6.8wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0e41…36f2backed Over53c400$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1888351.8%43 W · 40 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over53c400$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18824655.7%137 W · 109 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over55c399.99$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18021243.9%93 W · 119 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Over68c399.12$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.7242844.9%192 W · 236 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Under47c350$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.53855.3%21 W · 17 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x43de…d169backed Over54c335.19$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.191060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over53c330$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.19037.8%34 W · 56 L-12.2wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-28.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over53c330$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.18046.3%37 W · 43 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over53c320$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.49444.7%42 W · 52 L-7.2wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over53c300$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1418250%41 W · 41 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Over53c300$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14113650%68 W · 68 L-9.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over53c300$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1418953.9%48 W · 41 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x329c…18dfbacked Over53c300$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1411752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over53c250$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.523757%135 W · 102 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7cd…0888backed Under47c243.33$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.361136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over54c239.98$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.3933847%159 W · 179 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e66…53dfbacked Under48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+59.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Over53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9410953.2%58 W · 51 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86f8…1655backed Over70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+31.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9414756.5%83 W · 64 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed Over70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over53c190$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.36446.9%30 W · 34 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over53c180$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.68056.3%45 W · 35 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f7c…e75cbacked Over56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.572045%9 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Over53c170$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.96349.2%31 W · 32 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over53c170$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.97544%33 W · 42 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Over53c170$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.96350.8%32 W · 31 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over53c170$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.96448.4%31 W · 33 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Over53c170$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.97244.4%32 W · 40 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Over53c170$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.97647.4%36 W · 40 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Over53c170$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.97248.6%35 W · 37 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa354…b85fbacked Over53c167$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.492850%14 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over53c160$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.28551.8%44 W · 41 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Over53c150$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.57544%33 W · 42 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Over53c150$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.57540%30 W · 45 L-7.8wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-24.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Over53c149.99$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.498847.7%42 W · 46 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under47c142.27$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.6891950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe704…7558backed Over53c140$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.85554.5%30 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Over53c120$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.47847.4%37 W · 41 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Over53c120$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.48052.5%42 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Over53c120$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.48146.9%38 W · 43 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over53c120$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.47754.5%42 W · 35 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Over53c120$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.48048.8%39 W · 41 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Over53c120$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.48057.5%46 W · 34 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Over53c120$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.48755.2%48 W · 39 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Under11c110.03$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.057328.8%21 W · 52 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-27.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd571…d24abacked Under47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-27.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Over53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476344.4%28 W · 35 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Over53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474551.1%23 W · 22 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x939d…3b3cbacked Over54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464537.8%17 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6da…01cebacked Over54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.25per pick53cpaid+58.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe9c3…5ce1backed Under10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7b5…798cbacked Over53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474450%22 W · 22 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f65…cdd3backed Over53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb1aa…16cfbacked Over54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463876.3%29 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick70cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Over53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475358.5%31 W · 22 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc46…a7ecbacked Over53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x522f…1415backed Under47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472763%17 W · 10 L+3.6wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+31.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over54c93.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.865540%22 W · 33 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+34.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5926647.4%126 W · 140 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under40c81.62$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.8570239.3%276 W · 426 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Over53c80$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.67848.7%38 W · 40 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd03b…856cbacked Over53c80$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.64854.2%26 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+21.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf711…5d56backed Over56c79.86$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.142100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over68c73.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.532564%16 W · 9 L+3.2wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Over53c70$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.99450%47 W · 47 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over72c69.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.448062.5%50 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe1d…b628backed Over53c66.04$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.04475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe1d…219ebacked Under46c65.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308062.5%50 W · 30 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Under47c62.26$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.267040%28 W · 42 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-25.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over53c62.26$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.2623949.4%118 W · 121 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over58c60.46$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2437750.9%192 W · 185 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Over53c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.27748.1%37 W · 40 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Over53c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.27949.4%39 W · 40 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Over53c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.27852.6%41 W · 37 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked Over53c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.27648.7%37 W · 39 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.