Europa Conference League · resolved market
Bologna FC 1909 vs. Celtic FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x276e40eb63481d5b044a2320eee2658908ec5fed3f70c4833fec3f075d85a1ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,480
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,657
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,480 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0748…a31ebacked Under | 47c | 31,155$14,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,581 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Over | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,700.16 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdb…4d30backed Over | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,699.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 47c | 5,375$2,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,501.09 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 34c | 3,547$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,205.62 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Over | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Over | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…a795backed Under | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd550…9228backed Under | 47c | 1,915$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Over | 54c | 1,667$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.67 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 53c | 843.36$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.54 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over | 53c | 829.99$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.4 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Over | 69c | 724.64$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.64 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 47c | 600$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…eb0cbacked Over | 55c | 599.96$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.25 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -4.3wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Over | 55c | 599.96$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.74 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 54c | 502.33$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.07 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 54c | 481.48$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.48 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -8.0wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 32c | 450$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Under | 47c | 436.94$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.36 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 53c | 420$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.4 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over | 53c | 420$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.4 | 129 | 48.8%63 W · 66 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Over | 53c | 420$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.4 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Over | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 246 | 55.7%137 W · 109 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 55c | 399.99$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 212 | 43.9%93 W · 119 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 68c | 399.12$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.72 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Under | 47c | 350$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.5 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43de…d169backed Over | 54c | 335.19$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.19 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 53c | 330$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.1 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -12.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Over | 53c | 330$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.1 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 53c | 320$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.4 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -7.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Over | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Over | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…18dfbacked Over | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 53c | 250$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 237 | 57%135 W · 102 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed Under | 47c | 243.33$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.36 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 54c | 239.98$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.39 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e66…53dfbacked Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86f8…1655backed Over | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Over | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 53c | 190$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.3 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over | 53c | 180$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.6 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7c…e75cbacked Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Over | 53c | 170$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.9 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over | 53c | 170$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.9 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Over | 53c | 170$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.9 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over | 53c | 170$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.9 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Over | 53c | 170$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.9 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Over | 53c | 170$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.9 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Over | 53c | 170$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.9 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 53c | 167$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.49 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Over | 53c | 160$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.2 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Over | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Over | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -7.8wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 53c | 149.99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.49 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 47c | 142.27$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.68 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…7558backed Over | 53c | 140$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.8 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Over | 53c | 120$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Over | 53c | 120$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Over | 53c | 120$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over | 53c | 120$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Over | 53c | 120$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Over | 53c | 120$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Over | 53c | 120$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Under | 11c | 110.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd571…d24abacked Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6da…01cebacked Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c3…5ce1backed Under | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f65…cdd3backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 38 | 76.3%29 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc46…a7ecbacked Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1415backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 54c | 93.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 266 | 47.4%126 W · 140 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 40c | 81.62$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.85 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked Over | 53c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…856cbacked Over | 53c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf711…5d56backed Over | 56c | 79.86$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Over | 53c | 70$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 80 | 62.5%50 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe1d…b628backed Over | 53c | 66.04$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Under | 46c | 65.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 80 | 62.5%50 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Under | 47c | 62.26$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 53c | 62.26$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.26 | 239 | 49.4%118 W · 121 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 58c | 60.46$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.24 | 377 | 50.9%192 W · 185 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…2783backed Over | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed Over | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked Over | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…3f2fbacked Over | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. Celtic FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. Celtic FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. Celtic FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. Celtic FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. Celtic FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Bologna FC 1909 (-1.5)Celtic FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.