Europa Conference League · resolved market
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Lille OSC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x431730aa6582bf0612424949252d3d47eee4074b14b502252a88e8f16fa42fb7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,795
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,013
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,795 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 52c | 4,583$2,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,390.75 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…3e17backed Yes | 56c | 1,774$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed Yes | 57c | 1,648$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.42 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 32c | 779$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.72 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2af2…ec6fbacked Yes | 30c | 711$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.7 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 42c | 608.47$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.56 | 129 | 55.8%72 W · 57 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 31c | 584.27$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.77 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 45c | 387.65$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.47 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd120…19fcbacked Yes | 56c | 359.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.82 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43de…d169backed Yes | 55c | 289.09$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.09 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6c…08bfbacked Yes | 55c | 201.82$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.82 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 55c | 145.45$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.45 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 44c | 118.05$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.99 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…b79ebacked Yes | 54c | 114$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.44 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Yes | 53c | 75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.25 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…7558backed Yes | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18c4…1319backed No | 33c | 61.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50fc…ba9abacked Yes | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 54cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 55c | 47.84$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.73 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6510…953bbacked Yes | 54c | 46.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.68 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 67cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Yes | 49c | 46.68$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 55c | 45.55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.55 | 75 | 28%21 W · 54 L | -9.5wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -41%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Yes | 53c | 44$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.68 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed No | 46c | 41.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a1…64a3backed No | 46c | 39.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…4287backed No | 66c | 37.23$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 76 | 28.9%22 W · 54 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…a925backed Yes | 70c | 32.89$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa27…dbdcbacked No | 46c | 31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +87.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x622a…9099backed Yes | 55c | 30.2$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.59 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 48c | 29.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed No | 48c | 29.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed No | 45c | 29.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 47c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Yes | 54c | 27.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Yes | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 109 | 63.3%69 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34b2…cec2backed No | 46c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.42per pick | 59cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x96d2…dc9bbacked No | 46c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7643…80cbbacked No | 50c | 23.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…0a4abacked Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Lille OSC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Lille OSC: O/U 1.5Over won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Lille OSC: O/U 2.5Over won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Lille OSC: O/U 3.5Under won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Lille OSC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-1.5)Lille OSC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.