Europa Conference League · resolved market
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Lille OSC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x601aac65db5ddd638352b8cffb96d379e973481fbabe08c56eecac991a43df94
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,048
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,225
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,048 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Over | 44c | 16,650$7,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,323.98 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 15,672$8,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,439.14 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 52c | 7,299$3,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,777.43 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x209b…5706backed Under | 52c | 1,786$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.57 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 68c | 1,471$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.59 | 100 | 34%34 W · 66 L | -10.4wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3766…a0e4backed Over | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +69%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 49c | 965.27$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.58 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 61c | 891.11$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.53 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…f8fdbacked Under | 52c | 751.92$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89ed…42f5backed Over | 47c | 661.7$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 48c | 630.88$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.31 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 44c | 566.38$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.8 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Over | 48c | 551.92$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 47c | 500.6$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.32 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60d1…0c8fbacked Under | 52c | 499.98$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over | 53c | 460.29$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.29 | 75 | 28%21 W · 54 L | -9.5wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -41%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 48c | 439.9$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.9 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43a4…7170backed Under | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Over | 44c | 378.5$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.96 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Over | 65c | 326.15$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.59 | 153 | 76.5%117 W · 36 L | +37.4wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 47c | 306$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.18 | 180 | 49.4%89 W · 91 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 53c | 300.48$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.57 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Over | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d1…84a2backed Over | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…0927backed Over | 48c | 260.42$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.42 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca39…4ed7backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Over | 49c | 179$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.29 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad7…c097backed Over | 46c | 163.04$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.04 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf226…9c0fbacked Over | 61c | 148.26$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 49c | 132.92$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.79 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 42c | 121.38$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.36 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Under | 59c | 114.16$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.35 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Over | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…7558backed Over | 48c | 110$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a7…e2a3backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +151.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 266 | 47.4%126 W · 140 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Over | 52c | 97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.56 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 48c | 96.35$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.1 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c6e…81ebbacked Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Over | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fe…c8c2backed Over | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…68f6backed Over | 49c | 78.76$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +69%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Over | 46c | 76.09$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.09 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Over | 43c | 75.44$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked Over | 66c | 65.13$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 65c | 61.4$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.49 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 65c | 60.62$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.02 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 38c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…3d8cbacked Over | 46c | 57.65$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.13 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…eb0cbacked Over | 49c | 55.19$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.15 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -4.3wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Over | 49c | 55.19$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.15 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 53c | 54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.22 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc8…c57bbacked Over | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 239 | 49.4%118 W · 121 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x884d…1da6backed Under | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…630fbacked Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x555f…7782backed Over | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3991…b6c7backed Over | 46c | 49.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Over | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e54…0b5ebacked Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a52…45e7backed Under | 57c | 40.35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 80 | 62.5%50 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37ea…6cb9backed Under | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b9…d090backed Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18c4…1319backed Under | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa563…74f3backed Under | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed Over | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +388.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce20…2749backed Under | 53c | 27.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85dc…9af7backed Over | 48c | 27.48$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa15…95e3backed Under | 56c | 26.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -4.9wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…2b01backed Under | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Lille OSC: O/U 2.5this page
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Lille OSC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Lille OSC: O/U 1.5Over won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Lille OSC: O/U 3.5Under won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Lille OSC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-1.5)Lille OSC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.