CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd55f427bd77adc32e975d8f5e5424b262a12c574d60fc04400855c5a8007e59c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,432
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,006
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,432 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 45c | 3,286$1,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,464.36 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Over | 45c | 3,278$1,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,818.95 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 43c | 2,549$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.05 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3926…7e9ebacked Over | 45c | 2,300$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,264.88 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 50c | 2,245$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.69 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf121…6903backed Under | 2c | 2,148$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.23 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 45c | 1,511$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.94 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Under | 55c | 1,200$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 461 | 49.9%230 W · 231 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Under | 62c | 840$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.46 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecc7…01e0backed Under | 66c | 572.28$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Under | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 451 | 62.3%281 W · 170 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Under | 69c | 350$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.53 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Under | 55c | 261.82$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7f…f02fbacked Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +109.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 56c | 199.98$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.99 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x456b…945abacked Under | 74c | 190.44$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.15 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Under | 51c | 190$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.9 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf2…6373backed Over | 45c | 186.76$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.15 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed Under | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 209 | 52.6%110 W · 99 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Under | 54c | 165.4$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.88 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 61c | 159.62$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.56 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Over | 32c | 154.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.62 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc58…5155backed Over | 70c | 146.8$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.42 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…f2cdbacked Under | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Over | 26c | 123$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.02 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c4…6dfdbacked Under | 63c | 117.57$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.07 | 168 | 53.6%90 W · 78 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…a742backed Over | 46c | 97.46$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.63 | 169 | 50.9%86 W · 83 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc46…a7ecbacked Under | 56c | 95$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 33c | 89.04$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.66 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 53c | 88.18$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a42…fab9backed Over | 40c | 86.31$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.36 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78bd…a514backed Under | 64c | 78.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f9e…f22bbacked Under | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Under | 65c | 76.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.69 | 184 | 43.5%80 W · 104 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf237…6337backed Under | 35c | 75.69$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.29 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca5…e6c9backed Under | 70c | 71.84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Over | 55c | 69.52$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.47 | 198 | 43.9%87 W · 111 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbecd…9df4backed Under | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cd…e98dbacked Under | 77c | 64.27$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.49 | 37 | 78.4%29 W · 8 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Over | 42c | 64$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.27 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…1e42backed Under | 65c | 62.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.77 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Over | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6271…4ac6backed Under | 58c | 53.51$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.98 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Over | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 223 | 49.8%111 W · 112 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x608d…3933backed Under | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…37adbacked Over | 52c | 47.66$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.66 | 667 | 53.1%354 W · 313 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b81…68bebacked Under | 77c | 45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb68e…8607backed Over | 44c | 44.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.74 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Over | 27c | 40.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.73 | 165 | 32.1%53 W · 112 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x828c…fb4cbacked Over | 48c | 39.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.57 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c6a…26c6backed Under | 29c | 39.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 59c | 39.32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.16 | 135 | 37.8%51 W · 84 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 608 | 57.2%348 W · 260 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…d199backed Over | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Over | 45c | 26.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 807 | 41.3%333 W · 474 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05dd…305cbacked Over | 48c | 26.32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf50…aca0backed Over | 60c | 25.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.06 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | +8.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +20%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2483…598bbacked Under | 68c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 51c | 23.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Under | 72c | 23.73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 293 | 50.2%147 W · 146 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da8…baeebacked Over | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd6…686fbacked Over | 55c | 19.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5be2…8fa3backed Under | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 217 | 62.7%136 W · 81 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty PlayoffsPARIVISION won
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Spirit - Map 1 WinnerSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Spirit - Map 2 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)PARIVISION won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.