CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24d0651010abe023d96adc6684a227a985c084a0dc621a07e86d9863788345f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,056
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,936
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,056 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8a0…35b6backed Over | 1c | 28,517$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.44 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…0664backed Over | 31c | 3,217$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 63c | 1,999$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.25 | 2,798 | 37.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L | -138.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Over | 47c | 1,666$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.76 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 66c | 1,613$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.7 | 3,259 | 50.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L | +98.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 60c | 1,545$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.21 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…b3bbbacked Under | 69c | 1,413$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.99 | 291 | 27.5%80 W · 211 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4403…4252backed Over | 43c | 870.5$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.16 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Over | 37c | 865.64$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.61 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca5…e6c9backed Under | 57c | 800$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.58 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Over | 13c | 640.84$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.98 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2db3…667abacked Over | 17c | 586.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Over | 51c | 364.04$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.66 | 821 | 43%353 W · 468 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 60c | 220.99$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.79 | 135 | 37.8%51 W · 84 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Over | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 121 | 45.5%55 W · 66 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Under | 55c | 125.32$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.65 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 68c | 119.38$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.2 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 60c | 117.24$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.95 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…37adbacked Under | 73c | 107.53$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.03 | 667 | 53.1%354 W · 313 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8014…e1b9backed Over | 15c | 101.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 36c | 90.13$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.61 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabc8…fd71backed Under | 69c | 90$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6271…4ac6backed Under | 68c | 88.12$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.88 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ff…4b6fbacked Over | 50c | 80.31$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Over | 31c | 78.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.68 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8edc…a5f8backed Over | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a42…fab9backed Under | 60c | 77.38$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.64 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked Under | 73c | 66.91$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.83 | 608 | 57.2%348 W · 260 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe22f…fe42backed Over | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc405…8b56backed Over | 31c | 61.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 37c | 57.22$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa2bb…ae5fbacked Over | 29c | 56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 69c | 55.29$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 815 | 44.4%362 W · 453 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aee…51a8backed Over | 37c | 54.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…8881backed Under | 52c | 51.31$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd164…f17bbacked Under | 75c | 50.87$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1a…c5ebbacked Under | 58c | 46.87$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.87 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0982…7ab7backed Over | 43c | 36.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed Over | 52c | 36.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9a…becbbacked Under | 55c | 34.6$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.53 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd6…686fbacked Under | 68c | 34.08$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…1e42backed Under | 78c | 32.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…d199backed Over | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…4287backed Over | 44c | 28.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0abd…869abacked Under | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf71a…fa40backed Over | 41c | 28.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Over | 41c | 26.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 198 | 43.9%87 W · 111 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…196fbacked Under | 74c | 26.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c6a…26c6backed Over | 46c | 25.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf4…1339backed Under | 71c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Under | 73c | 23.04$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 293 | 50.2%147 W · 146 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x499c…e165backed Under | 66c | 22.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 65cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbab6…f845backed Under | 74c | 22.34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3b…5f97backed Under | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4de…00b4backed Under | 57c | 18.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.02 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2625…9198backed Under | 75c | 15.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Bounty PlayoffsVitality won
- Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Vitality - Map 1 WinnerVitality won
- Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Vitality - Map 2 WinnerVitality won
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5)Vitality won
- Series Vitality Rounds Handicap (-13.5) vs GamerLegion (+13.5)GamerLegion won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.