CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59d84f9d55ffb01e98f9a02136434e2c3c592650757114787e34d6d2ec8746d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vitalityof Vitality, GamerLegion
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,441
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,678
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,441 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked GamerLegion | 32c | 3,131$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.01 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3d…7011backed Vitality | 68c | 2,936$1,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.43 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed GamerLegion | 31c | 748.14$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.92 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…95fbbacked Vitality | 69c | 600$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked GamerLegion | 30c | 600$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed GamerLegion | 30c | 500.17$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.35 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca5…e6c9backed Vitality | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked GamerLegion | 31c | 499.98$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.99 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7e7cbacked Vitality | 69c | 474.41$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.7 | 210 | 42.9%90 W · 120 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed GamerLegion | 34c | 403.03$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.03 | 256 | 34.4%88 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Vitality | 69c | 362.32$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.32 | 617 | 54.8%338 W · 279 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed Vitality | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed GamerLegion | 33c | 181.18$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.79 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Vitality | 69c | 180$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.8 | 420 | 57.6%242 W · 178 L | +19.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafa3…0915backed Vitality | 68c | 166.18$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.18 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x899c…99d3backed Vitality | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9a…3b2abacked Vitality | 70c | 141.53$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.46 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked GamerLegion | 30c | 133.62$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.63 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked Vitality | 69c | 105.8$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 482 | 42.1%203 W · 279 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa83f…b857backed Vitality | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 127 | 49.6%63 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2806…6de8backed Vitality | 69c | 35.2$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.91 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4a…43abbacked Vitality | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 184 | 51.1%94 W · 90 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5be2…8fa3backed Vitality | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 217 | 62.7%136 W · 81 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x399c…6191backed Vitality | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 169 | 65.1%110 W · 59 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…0a4abacked Vitality | 69c | 28.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb68e…8607backed Vitality | 69c | 20.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Bounty PlayoffsVitality won
- Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Vitality - Map 1 WinnerVitality won
- Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Vitality - Map 2 WinnerVitality won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Series Vitality Rounds Handicap (-13.5) vs GamerLegion (+13.5)GamerLegion won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.