Tennis · resolved market
Australian Open Men's: Sebastian Baez vs Luciano Darderi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2f66a2a7ef4d47cc48783e3c8304504390cf8ab43de40888e4dc3bd4253d8b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Darderiof Baez, Darderi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $189,973
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $231,971
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $189,973 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 195 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5877…d894backed Darderi | 41c | 39,630$16,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,231.19 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Darderi | 40c | 24,999$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,999.29 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Baez | 60c | 18,486$11,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,096.83 | 244 | 48.8%119 W · 125 L | +17.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Baez | 58c | 15,695$9,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,178.11 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Baez | 59c | 8,000$4,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,720 | 217 | 43.8%95 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Darderi | 53c | 7,625$4,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,590.66 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Darderi | 32c | 6,771$2,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,586.26 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Baez | 68c | 6,000$4,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,078.99 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed Baez | 58c | 5,962$3,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,461.58 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…c100backed Baez | 61c | 5,000$3,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,049.96 | 430 | 51.2%220 W · 210 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Darderi | 39c | 4,645$1,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,833.45 | 313 | 32.3%101 W · 212 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Darderi | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,830 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15cb…820abacked Baez | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Baez | 61c | 3,000$1,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,830 | 180 | 47.2%85 W · 95 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Darderi | 50c | 2,891$1,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,447.79 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Baez | 40c | 2,532$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.75 | 447 | 54.4%243 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…ec26backed Baez | 62c | 2,412$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 645 | 40.2%259 W · 386 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15fe…86bebacked Baez | 39c | 2,120$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.2 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Baez | 68c | 2,036$1,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,382.08 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9cd…432cbacked Baez | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Baez | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 441 | 63.7%281 W · 160 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Darderi | 41c | 1,932$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.8 | 317 | 53.6%170 W · 147 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Baez | 60c | 1,717$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030 | 138 | 52.9%73 W · 65 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Baez | 39c | 1,699$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.88 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Baez | 48c | 1,399$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.17 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Baez | 59c | 1,374$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.66 | 872 | 51.1%446 W · 426 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Baez | 60c | 1,341$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.76 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Darderi | 39c | 1,308$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.88 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Baez | 62c | 1,290$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 369 | 68%251 W · 118 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f6…adc3backed Darderi | 38c | 1,195$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.88 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Darderi | 66c | 1,094$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.64 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Baez | 49c | 1,021$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 625 | 45.4%284 W · 341 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…3b80backed Darderi | 39c | 1,010$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.1 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Baez | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Darderi | 54c | 934.13$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.53 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…46e0backed Baez | 61c | 900$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Baez | 62c | 808.12$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Darderi | 61c | 799.9$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.87 | 470 | 57.2%269 W · 201 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1574…64c9backed Darderi | 39c | 768.98$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.08 | 476 | 39.1%186 W · 290 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Baez | 60c | 666$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.6 | 223 | 44.8%100 W · 123 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…af57backed Baez | 60c | 648.15$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.89 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb878…e3e2backed Baez | 62c | 638.71$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb2…6b94backed Darderi | 40c | 630.66$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.66 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Baez | 58c | 619$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.8 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc5…908abacked Baez | 60c | 580.6$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 587 | 53.7%315 W · 272 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Darderi | 39c | 556.07$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.13 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Darderi | 42c | 534.7$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.42 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a65…15b1backed Darderi | 38c | 532.44$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.11 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6809…b188backed Baez | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 82 | 69.5%57 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6827…26fdbacked Baez | 36c | 500$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.5 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6456…60e2backed Baez | 11c | 500$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -80%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd61…0002backed Darderi | 40c | 499.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…0992backed Baez | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 656 | 51.8%340 W · 316 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Baez | 63c | 476.91$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Baez | 37c | 453.84$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.79 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Baez | 52c | 403.97$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.12 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf74d…9930backed Baez | 62c | 403.23$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 261 | 58.2%152 W · 109 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Darderi | 37c | 400$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.28 | 279 | 44.1%123 W · 156 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Baez | 55c | 380.72$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.57 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf946…d542backed Darderi | 39c | 380$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.8 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4338…648ebacked Darderi | 52c | 352.84$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.92 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec5b…aff2backed Baez | 29c | 346.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Baez | 47c | 339.12$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.5 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Darderi | 38c | 330.93$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.18 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Baez | 60c | 329.17$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.5 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bf…b02dbacked Baez | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 591 | 65.3%386 W · 205 L | -16.9wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…61b4backed Baez | 62c | 324.39$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 374 | 44.1%165 W · 209 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb13…8bb4backed Darderi | 64c | 313.48$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.48 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Darderi | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Baez | 75c | 266.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.68 | 262 | 44.7%117 W · 145 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Darderi | 78c | 257.4$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.42 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3be6…05b1backed Darderi | 40c | 254.1$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.46 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f78…bbe8backed Baez | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba4f…7ecebacked Baez | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Baez | 44c | 247.27$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…c18cbacked Darderi | 38c | 240.38$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed Darderi | 38c | 233.45$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.74 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -28%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e66…01cbbacked Baez | 54c | 228.51$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.21 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb361…85dbbacked Baez | 21c | 217.02$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf463…8e9dbacked Baez | 62c | 209.68$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc42…01b2backed Baez | 48c | 206.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.75 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Baez | 19c | 202.44$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.75 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Darderi | 38c | 200$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 1,158 | 44.4%514 W · 644 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd29b…b518backed Baez | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8be…f991backed Baez | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.6 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46e…db14backed Baez | 62c | 200$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 188 | 63.8%120 W · 68 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1362…16ccbacked Darderi | 40c | 199.85$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.93 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x029f…9970backed Baez | 60c | 195$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Baez | 36c | 194.15$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.83 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe450…a40abacked Baez | 62c | 193.85$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.19 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Darderi | 37c | 175$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.04 | 278 | 36.3%101 W · 177 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2911…fed6backed Darderi | 66c | 173.02$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.67 | 17 | 94.1%16 W · 1 L | +3.8wins | +0.23per pick | 72cpaid | +29%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcbaa…59b8backed Baez | 62c | 171.39$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.26 | 324 | 48.1%156 W · 168 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Baez | 62c | 170.97$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4291…b6bdbacked Baez | 60c | 167$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.2 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21bd…ae93backed Baez | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Baez | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 509 | 52.1%265 W · 244 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Baez | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -4.2wins | -0.19per pick | 64cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e07…6a8ebacked Baez | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48ee…0db4backed Baez | 61c | 160.72$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.04 | 545 | 47.9%261 W · 284 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australian Open Men's: Sebastian Baez vs Luciano Darderithis page
- Baez vs. Darderi: Match O/U 36.5Under won
- Baez vs. Darderi: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Baez vs. Darderi: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Baez vs DarderiDarderi won
- Set Handicap: Baez (-1.5) vs Darderi (+1.5)Darderi won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.