CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs M80 - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84cf5336b75912e83ed3809f5c483bb639f803cdfd106049964bb8459bc13ec9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gentle Matesof Gentle Mates, M80
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,997
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,081
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,997 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a78…add7backed M80 | 56c | 9,891$5,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,506.77 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked M80 | 57c | 5,232$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Gentle Mates | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Gentle Mates | 38c | 4,300$1,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,655.9 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…175bbacked Gentle Mates | 43c | 4,074$1,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,318.56 | 40 | 72.5%29 W · 11 L | +8.3wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed M80 | 47c | 2,679$1,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.21 | 469 | 49.7%233 W · 236 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Gentle Mates | 44c | 2,506$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,414.33 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Gentle Mates | 44c | 2,410$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.45 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Gentle Mates | 55c | 1,970$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.56 | 598 | 39.6%237 W · 361 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e53…eaebbacked M80 | 51c | 1,416$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed M80 | 68c | 1,100$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.4 | 244 | 57%139 W · 105 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed M80 | 36c | 999.99$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9cc…bbe4backed M80 | 13c | 752.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Gentle Mates | 49c | 586$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.7 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed M80 | 11c | 554.65$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.69 | 339 | 49%166 W · 173 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc330…1667backed Gentle Mates | 57c | 473.84$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.75 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed M80 | 56c | 426.24$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.21 | 635 | 41.1%261 W · 374 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed M80 | 13c | 409$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.72 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked M80 | 39c | 400$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa6…f3b0backed Gentle Mates | 63c | 393.82$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.41 | 136 | 75%102 W · 34 L | +22.9wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed M80 | 31c | 387.87$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8df0…96a6backed Gentle Mates | 59c | 361.4$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.6 | 92 | 64.1%59 W · 33 L | +10.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed M80 | 13c | 358$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.62 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabc8…fd71backed M80 | 14c | 353.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5498…126fbacked Gentle Mates | 47c | 344.92$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.04 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked M80 | 48c | 343.75$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 656 | 50.3%330 W · 326 L | -15.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Gentle Mates | 68c | 311.14$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.62 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0cff…15d1backed M80 | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42a7…96f9backed M80 | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed Gentle Mates | 53c | 163.83$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked M80 | 53c | 158$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.74 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab6a…3319backed M80 | 57c | 131.58$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Gentle Mates | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 656 | 62.3%409 W · 247 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42af…15f7backed M80 | 26c | 113.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…3e2bbacked Gentle Mates | 72c | 95.84$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.26 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked M80 | 30c | 93.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 807 | 41.3%333 W · 474 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Gentle Mates | 51c | 80$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked M80 | 49c | 80$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed M80 | 35c | 80$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 215 | 28.8%62 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed M80 | 54c | 65.4$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.31 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed M80 | 61c | 62.54$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.15 | 374 | 45.7%171 W · 203 L | -29.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa766…5c8ebacked Gentle Mates | 56c | 54.91$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.91 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16a5…c4f1backed M80 | 57c | 50.39$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked M80 | 65c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 821 | 46.3%380 W · 441 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Gentle Mates | 36c | 31.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…2108backed Gentle Mates | 75c | 26.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked M80 | 54c | 25.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Gentle Mates | 54c | 18.68$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs M80 - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs M80 (BO3)Gentle Mates won
- Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs M80 - Map 2 WinnerGentle Mates won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.