Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
San Francisco Dons vs. San Diego Toreros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x09372b5e681a6ab792f3335f950755190855bf67e9ba5d9dc5278703591b21d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Francisco Donsof San Francisco Dons, San Diego Toreros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,708
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,708 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90a5…c3f1backed San Diego Toreros | 50c | 14,348$7,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,189.32 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +49%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa486…25d4backed San Francisco Dons | 46c | 13,379$6,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,236.7 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff48…3468backed San Diego Toreros | 1c | 3,541$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.07 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…08d2backed San Francisco Dons | 21c | 1,295$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +142.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef37…f2bcbacked San Diego Toreros | 79c | 897$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6546…c454backed San Diego Toreros | 80c | 800$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aec…fdafbacked San Diego Toreros | 80c | 727$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.87 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f5c…91bfbacked San Francisco Dons | 20c | 555$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +148.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f3…e6aabacked San Diego Toreros | 80c | 418$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b2…9d96backed San Francisco Dons | 20c | 418$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf53c…00acbacked San Francisco Dons | 20c | 375$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +215.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c5…b4e1backed San Diego Toreros | 80c | 375$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad5…6f41backed San Diego Toreros | 80c | 333$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.73 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1832…af9ebacked San Francisco Dons | 21c | 294$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +373.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6478…49f3backed San Francisco Dons | 24c | 246$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +314.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecb6…cfe8backed San Diego Toreros | 76c | 246$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…293cbacked San Francisco Dons | 20c | 172$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.43 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +107.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x965d…7773backed San Francisco Dons | 20c | 171$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +395%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70e7…4a70backed San Francisco Dons | 20c | 136$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +395%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc315…6411backed San Diego Toreros | 80c | 136$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce25…4e7dbacked San Francisco Dons | 22c | 121$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +190.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb767…9b51backed San Diego Toreros | 78c | 121$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +136.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9778…1d7bbacked San Francisco Dons | 20c | 109$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53b7…4146backed San Francisco Dons | 20c | 104$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +93.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefc0…4942backed San Francisco Dons | 20c | 63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.27 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +129.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f1…7da3backed San Francisco Dons | 77c | 53$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.14 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.23per pick | 31cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1877…78d7backed San Diego Toreros | 80c | 41.35$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a4…9a10backed San Diego Toreros | 59c | 25.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.