Ukraine · resolved market
Will Russia capture Rodynske by August 20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3f220142aa2de8a96602fa69a31f580a7e555f9cfe389cec9b2b2cdcd2acf58
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $101,280
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $113,542
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,280 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 51c | 6,177$3,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,049.86 | 234 | 35.5%83 W · 151 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x813a…acb1backed Yes | 40c | 5,963$2,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,371.68 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Yes | 24c | 4,487$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.38 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd98a…dfc5backed Yes | 9c | 3,961$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fce…33f8backed Yes | 36c | 3,000$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43ec…4612backed No | 80c | 2,260$1,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.09 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6993…c79abacked Yes | 1c | 2,088$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 19c | 2,070$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.82 | 253 | 11.5%29 W · 224 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaec2…cb66backed Yes | 50c | 2,007$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x264c…bacabacked No | 46c | 1,796$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.86 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce69…3e08backed No | 54c | 1,786$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.11 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…c4efbacked Yes | 8c | 1,586$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.99 | 128 | 30.5%39 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee83…f6d7backed Yes | 5c | 1,448$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.75 | 69 | 13%9 W · 60 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…21bbbacked No | 55c | 1,376$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.59 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf969…7ce8backed Yes | 30c | 1,372$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.19 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f2…ddd0backed Yes | 20c | 1,351$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.93 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b7e…79e5backed No | 64c | 1,256$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.96 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 60cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a4…9ba4backed Yes | 55c | 1,250$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50a0…f233backed Yes | 10c | 1,243$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.22 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 13cpaid | -86.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x110a…38a8backed Yes | 2c | 1,198$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32d1…b949backed Yes | 8c | 1,158$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.62 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | -5.9wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked No | 45c | 1,111$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.52 | 353 | 41.9%148 W · 205 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8545…ada5backed Yes | 50c | 1,099$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +85.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1141…55b1backed No | 56c | 1,009$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.31 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23d3…4ca5backed Yes | 58c | 917.82$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x662c…bfe7backed No | 49c | 900$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.71 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9076…8805backed Yes | 51c | 817.99$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.38 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 6c | 780.16$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.02 | 394 | 29.4%116 W · 278 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcb…e6f1backed Yes | 3c | 767.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x723a…d86dbacked Yes | 22c | 700$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 22cpaid | +11%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 681.86$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.92 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70e0…0edcbacked Yes | 20c | 644.43$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.61 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 8c | 638.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.15 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 60c | 627.11$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.41 | 99 | 32.3%32 W · 67 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5a27backed Yes | 6c | 520.97$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.45 | 56 | 5.4%3 W · 53 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ae…3808backed No | 58c | 518.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.55 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbac…b9bebacked No | 78c | 514.64$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +119.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…aa40backed No | 75c | 500$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.78 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc99…e0a3backed No | 53c | 500$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed Yes | 25c | 492.61$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.81 | 115 | 42.6%49 W · 66 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x653a…bb03backed Yes | 6c | 491.18$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c08…eba9backed No | 45c | 477$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.35 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f9…4794backed Yes | 8c | 441.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.46 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x297a…92e0backed No | 50c | 418.31$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.31 | 102 | 41.2%42 W · 60 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6395…6735backed Yes | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b9…153cbacked Yes | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x429a…77fbbacked No | 79c | 388.04$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.49 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 12c | 348.26$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.61 | 171 | 22.2%38 W · 133 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9329…9d3ebacked Yes | 30c | 317.61$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.59 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Yes | 13c | 300.47$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.58 | 113 | 22.1%25 W · 88 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69cc…cf1fbacked Yes | 40c | 297.2$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb02e…25e5backed Yes | 8c | 278.58$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.29 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90b7…0b0dbacked Yes | 53c | 249.67$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.21 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 20c | 246.82$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.16 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb26c…0eb0backed No | 43c | 235$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.1 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcd…cbfbbacked No | 46c | 227.72$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.72 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c1…2dbcbacked No | 44c | 226.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.11 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9afd…3028backed No | 68c | 219.14$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.9 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…109fbacked Yes | 35c | 214.03$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.14 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40ab…e62ebacked Yes | 19c | 211.41$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42d8…ff9bbacked Yes | 56c | 209.56$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.35 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed Yes | 13c | 206.14$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.74 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74ad…92abbacked Yes | 59c | 205.63$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.68 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed No | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 129 | 37.2%48 W · 81 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37d4…0fe2backed Yes | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed No | 80c | 199.99$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 27c | 189.84$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.79 | 417 | 36.2%151 W · 266 L | -25.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73e5…5bb5backed No | 57c | 176.84$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.24 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20e0…3a5fbacked Yes | 20c | 176.59$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.95 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3762…7ff4backed No | 80c | 154.71$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.59 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…43dcbacked No | 78c | 150.07$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.7 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Yes | 12c | 149.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7988…cefebacked Yes | 43c | 146.44$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x212c…8e4abacked No | 65c | 146.37$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.37 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff2…ba22backed No | 69c | 144.48$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6f…7e67backed No | 71c | 141.33$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 54 | 79.6%43 W · 11 L | +6.2wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 17c | 121.71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 308 | 37.7%116 W · 192 L | -18.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7589…9081backed No | 48c | 117.71$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +110.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x524a…0441backed No | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28c2…12b9backed Yes | 50c | 102.02$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.77 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf268…2ac5backed No | 80c | 101$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x516d…03e5backed No | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ead…ba24backed No | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…c131backed Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97cc…bbbfbacked No | 50c | 93$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.04 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cb…ae6dbacked Yes | 51c | 90.27$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.97 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93da…558fbacked No | 71c | 67.25$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.45 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…7a4abacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ee…cf38backed Yes | 38c | 51.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd8…01f0backed Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a26…915dbacked No | 71c | 43.57$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.64 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe553…f023backed Yes | 39c | 40.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f78…f9dabacked No | 44c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3e…c5b5backed No | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6d…7dd1backed Yes | 57c | 38.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d96…3ad5backed No | 45c | 35.56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.56 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +117.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9661…6489backed No | 73c | 32.56$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2348…9ee0backed No | 64c | 31.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6d…f2b4backed No | 47c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +8.1wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.