Us Politics · resolved market
Trump vetoes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa6b986383d1907ca3f55180a75de83d8f72d4c123a408dad81844a8c3cc236e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $85,986
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,945
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,986 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 5c | 3,564$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.83 | 333 | 13.2%44 W · 289 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd053…f7c0backed Yes | 10c | 3,000$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.33 | 35 | 17.1%6 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 2,853$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.64 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77a4…c84fbacked Yes | 7c | 2,687$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.44 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa058…c2e6backed Yes | 4c | 2,580$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6993…c79abacked Yes | 1c | 1,420$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4af…6a73backed Yes | 5c | 1,310$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 3cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 4c | 1,212$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.83 | 142 | 8.5%12 W · 130 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9cd…e436backed Yes | 2c | 1,091$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 3cpaid | +248.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Yes | 9c | 1,068$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.79 | 192 | 36.5%70 W · 122 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc254…3f73backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 4c | 999.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.85 | 72 | 8.3%6 W · 66 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4d…25b5backed Yes | 2c | 935$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 2c | 865.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 146 | 6.2%9 W · 137 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes | 4c | 845.54$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.63 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 3c | 837.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.17 | 60 | 10%6 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51dc…9ecdbacked Yes | 5c | 769.1$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.08 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaebd…c462backed Yes | 3c | 677.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -76%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x266b…7eb6backed Yes | 5c | 625.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x237a…7810backed Yes | 4c | 559.49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1091…a259backed Yes | 13c | 535.98$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.66 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 10c | 498.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 567 | 33.2%188 W · 379 L | -40.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb81…4f4fbacked Yes | 6c | 467.16$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb11e…84c5backed Yes | 4c | 457.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe86e…8642backed Yes | 7c | 383.52$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34e8…1e4cbacked Yes | 14c | 357.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -48%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd507…9b56backed Yes | 5c | 340$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5384…7408backed Yes | 6c | 299.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 18cpaid | +127.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67a7…1facbacked Yes | 14c | 278.57$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c58…4e6bbacked Yes | 5c | 277.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 9c | 222$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 110 | 10%11 W · 99 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1f…448fbacked Yes | 23c | 212.81$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.1 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8b…dbf5backed Yes | 7c | 202.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -23%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fef…0cc5backed Yes | 6c | 201.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2b…c35dbacked Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6c…a5d3backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +356.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1874…5d15backed Yes | 11c | 182.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…cce5backed Yes | 9c | 173.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae50…0119backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc02…f89cbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 27c | 88.2$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.27 | 336 | 18.5%62 W · 274 L | -46.5wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -60%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc3…b21fbacked No | 71c | 59.31$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd70…d270backed Yes | 75c | 59.21$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.37 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.