South American Leagues · resolved market
Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xebf15299da51c6d3cf5cff7627ac1bc11072c99dfe6dd699470e5a963210b4ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,187
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,070
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,187 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Over | 29c | 4,497$1,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,318.53 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 44c | 3,170$1,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.28 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 32c | 3,016$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976 | 116 | 18.1%21 W · 95 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 73c | 2,923$2,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.73 | 217 | 52.1%113 W · 104 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 48c | 2,562$1,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,334.07 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 59c | 2,183$1,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.53 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 73c | 1,340$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.14 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over | 56c | 1,011$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.23 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd1…7918backed Under | 63c | 890.95$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.65 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 45c | 827.78$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.78 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…fb89backed Under | 80c | 753.92$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Under | 43c | 627.25$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.25 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 36c | 550.22$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc10…e9b4backed Over | 59c | 516.1$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 62c | 457.21$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.56 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 44c | 370.52$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.42 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 56c | 347$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.11 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 57c | 337.44$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.85 | 382 | 33%126 W · 256 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8356…d6cbbacked Under | 66c | 303.45$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Over | 57c | 231.17$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.78 | 128 | 28.1%36 W · 92 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa69c…890ebacked Over | 53c | 156.33$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.48 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 56c | 142.49$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.79 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x898a…499abacked Under | 76c | 136.83$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 56c | 127.96$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.56 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 57c | 127.86$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.21 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Over | 58c | 126.14$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.06 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b65…e6bfbacked Over | 34c | 124.18$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.22 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 57c | 123.27$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.92 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 24c | 115.46$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.62 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 54c | 99.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.99 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed Over | 29c | 99.96$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea47…d64bbacked Over | 57c | 93.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.57 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Over | 44c | 91.05$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.36 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 45c | 87.6$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.18 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 71c | 84.97$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 38c | 84.34$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.22 | 308 | 58.4%180 W · 128 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ce…e232backed Under | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Over | 55c | 75.44$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.49 | 129 | 45%58 W · 71 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 20c | 74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Under | 55c | 65.27$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 56c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2e…1b4cbacked Under | 56c | 53.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.71 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Over | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 55c | 50.62$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.71 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00b4…87bfbacked Under | 74c | 49.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 359 | 58.8%211 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…6471backed Under | 46c | 42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Over | 47c | 40.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeceb…29a4backed Under | 56c | 34.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 57c | 34.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 258 | 66.3%171 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae4…e4a2backed Under | 54c | 32.93$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…dfe8backed Under | 62c | 32.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 54c | 31.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 58c | 30.89$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 192 | 64.1%123 W · 69 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Under | 57c | 30.15$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3b…cea6backed Over | 56c | 28.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 56c | 26.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 218 | 44.5%97 W · 121 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa636…dfe9backed Under | 61c | 24.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…4698backed Over | 56c | 23.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 56cpaid | -50%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed Under | 44c | 22.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 55c | 22.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Over | 55c | 21.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 99 | 36.4%36 W · 63 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc161…bd88backed Under | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Over | 56c | 21.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…19e5backed Over | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5569…c927backed Over | 56c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 60cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd60f…b6c4backed Over | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x697e…9904backed Under | 70c | 14.59$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.38 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 2.5this page
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Pachuca: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 0.5Over won
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 1.5Under won
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 3.5Under won
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 4.5Under won
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CF Pachuca (-1.5)Pumas de la UNAM won
- Spread: Pumas de la UNAM (-2.5)CF Pachuca won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.