South American Leagues · resolved market
Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3b713140d046ed400e28bbed0533771fbfeb0c1aa5a15494fbc362b204c08df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,879
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,207
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,879 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 6,605$3,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,127.22 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 45c | 4,445$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.21 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 63c | 2,902$1,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.9 | 217 | 52.1%113 W · 104 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 41c | 2,400$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.99 | 129 | 40.3%52 W · 77 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16e5…6373backed Over | 46c | 2,150$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.61 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed Over | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.98 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 54c | 925.9$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Under | 55c | 804.8$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.16 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb15c…604abacked Under | 49c | 715.37$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.37 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6836…f2cdbacked Over | 53c | 688$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce9…ced7backed Under | 47c | 688$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.64 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x984c…e508backed Over | 32c | 499.98$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 50c | 380$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 49c | 330.32$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.48 | 2,173 | 43.6%948 W · 1,225 L | -55.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 47c | 296.77$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.16 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x565a…3207backed Under | 44c | 289.5$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21df…fdbcbacked Under | 56c | 288.89$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.11 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 35c | 286.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 45c | 272.59$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.83 | 1,296 | 43%557 W · 739 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 50c | 235.51$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.86 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…42dfbacked Under | 42c | 227.05$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.13 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 52c | 192.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.15 | 341 | 55.1%188 W · 153 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a88…4e57backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 55c | 181.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.81 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x399f…e8d8backed Over | 24c | 178.81$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.91 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed Over | 28c | 175.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 45c | 170.88$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.09 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 71c | 136.18$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.02 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ff…d970backed Over | 80c | 128.49$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1f…eb43backed Over | 47c | 123.72$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 60c | 119.98$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.2 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…af1abacked Over | 36c | 109.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 56c | 104.04$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.26 | 1,303 | 50.1%653 W · 650 L | -14.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 20c | 103.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.82 | 788 | 56.3%444 W · 344 L | +23.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Over | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b65…e6bfbacked Over | 43c | 98.19$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.22 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a9…5c31backed Over | 71c | 90.75$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.63 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Under | 45c | 78.29$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.44 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0444…55a5backed Under | 47c | 62.87$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.32 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Over | 46c | 62.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.57 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x898a…499abacked Over | 45c | 59.16$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.44 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 20c | 54.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.79 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 55c | 54.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.13 | 250 | 44%110 W · 140 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 50c | 53.18$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.48 | 308 | 58.4%180 W · 128 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 79c | 49.97$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.47 | 86 | 68.6%59 W · 27 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 45c | 47.22$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 62c | 41.26$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Over | 63c | 37.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…6e8dbacked Under | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc057…804abacked Under | 46c | 34.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.54 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Over | 45c | 32.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 55c | 32.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 54c | 30.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 192 | 64.1%123 W · 69 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Under | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 183 | 59%108 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Over | 37c | 28.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 45 | 6.7%3 W · 42 L | -16.3wins | -0.36per pick | 43cpaid | -90.1%equal weight | 24-0.23 edge/pick |
| 0x43ea…1d36backed Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 39c | 27.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked Over | 43c | 27.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…03e5backed Under | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.08 | 209 | 58.4%122 W · 87 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…dfe8backed Under | 47c | 24.87$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.06 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Under | 44c | 23.18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.98 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 56c | 22.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed Over | 47c | 21.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1296…a537backed Over | 56c | 21.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3b…cea6backed Over | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…ea54backed Under | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 1.5this page
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Pachuca: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 0.5Over won
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 2.5Under won
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 3.5Under won
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 4.5Under won
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CF Pachuca (-1.5)Pumas de la UNAM won
- Spread: Pumas de la UNAM (-2.5)CF Pachuca won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.