South American Leagues · resolved market
Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d24cdb0b45f651a7244e75a397fa617fcb1894ce1bab70bde1e096450ae9114
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,922
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,861
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,922 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Over | 15c | 21,909$3,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,268.73 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Over | 37c | 4,164$1,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,526.4 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 14c | 1,429$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 116 | 18.1%21 W · 95 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 76c | 1,096$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.44 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 10c | 817.16$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.03 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 65c | 739.09$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.9 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 33c | 609.98$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.29 | 191 | 35.1%67 W · 124 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Over | 35c | 572.75$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.16 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 67c | 437.97$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.33 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf22b…8f84backed Under | 77c | 389.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.61 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked Under | 66c | 304.85$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.65 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Over | 22c | 300$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 128 | 28.1%36 W · 92 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 63c | 294$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.78 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9b61backed Over | 35c | 233.74$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.53 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 63c | 198$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.26 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 63c | 198$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.26 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 32c | 137.48$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4def…06e6backed Over | 15c | 133.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Over | 34c | 121.33$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.07 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 75c | 100.63$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.33 | 258 | 66.3%171 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…36a2backed Over | 18c | 91.87$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Over | 35c | 86.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.11 | 129 | 45%58 W · 71 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 66c | 86$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.52 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa52…eababacked Under | 67c | 73.13$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.13 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Over | 35c | 65.65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Over | 35c | 53.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 32c | 50.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 65c | 49.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 86 | 68.6%59 W · 27 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 33c | 46.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Over | 35c | 42.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 66c | 39.85$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 218 | 44.5%97 W · 121 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae4…e4a2backed Under | 68c | 32.32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.48 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…28b8backed Over | 35c | 30.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb549…ae63backed Under | 75c | 21.42$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 67cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Under | 75c | 17.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.21 | 258 | 64.3%166 W · 92 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeceb…29a4backed Under | 69c | 15.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.77 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeaec…7855backed Under | 67c | 15.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 3.5this page
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Pachuca: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 0.5Over won
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 1.5Under won
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 2.5Under won
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 4.5Under won
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CF Pachuca (-1.5)Pumas de la UNAM won
- Spread: Pumas de la UNAM (-2.5)CF Pachuca won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.