South American Leagues · resolved market
Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Pachuca: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20966848ca55e07410105d2ecefa4fda7c2717a1a6514e5aa8d7428231762409
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,491
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,591
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,491 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.97 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 52c | 775.27$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.69 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed No | 41c | 376.65$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.3 | 129 | 45%58 W · 71 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1e…7ee3backed No | 75c | 365$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.25 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 41c | 296.56$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.77 | 128 | 28.1%36 W · 92 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 59c | 258.68$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.62 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yes | 60c | 166.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…810cbacked Yes | 37c | 162.16$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 39c | 95.95$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.53 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…e5b8backed Yes | 61c | 90.87$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.43 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 33c | 66.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.33 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 59c | 64.14$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.84 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…e6d8backed No | 60c | 46.67$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.67 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +75%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 40c | 46.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Yes | 40c | 44.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…6e8dbacked Yes | 59c | 42.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5040…96cfbacked Yes | 52c | 29.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5483…5e9fbacked Yes | 47c | 27.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e75…b009backed No | 66c | 21.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3681…c186backed Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5a…7f4ebacked Yes | 61c | 19.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Pachuca: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 0.5Over won
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 1.5Under won
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 2.5Under won
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 3.5Under won
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 4.5Under won
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CF Pachuca (-1.5)Pumas de la UNAM won
- Spread: Pumas de la UNAM (-2.5)CF Pachuca won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.