South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Paranaense vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33ce33986c3e14e867466cc27f0ff858df27bf3255e8c0ffffa26903e373ee56
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,499
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,135
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,499 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 42c | 9,181$3,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,830.9 | 143 | 30.8%44 W · 99 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 58c | 6,040$3,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,516.89 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Over | 42c | 4,643$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 66c | 3,492$2,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183.37 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 59c | 2,642$1,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.2 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x319f…500bbacked Under | 55c | 1,273$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.73 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Over | 25c | 1,254$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.21 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Over | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 58c | 802.8$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.23 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 53c | 588.16$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.16 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 53c | 545.14$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.03 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9b61backed Under | 61c | 423.45$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.22 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…e90dbacked Under | 38c | 366$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.97 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 41c | 329.27$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 31c | 314.26$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.92 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 45c | 299$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.45 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc1…b855backed Over | 32c | 231.92$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.65 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…af1bbacked Over | 42c | 226.19$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 38c | 223.49$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.93 | 148 | 24.3%36 W · 112 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 20c | 201.9$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 141 | 61%86 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff6…2712backed Over | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf703…541abacked Over | 34c | 175.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 41c | 166.76$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.28 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb85f…dfb5backed Over | 43c | 163.8$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.12 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Under | 60c | 133.25$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.73 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Under | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 59c | 126.51$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.07 | 341 | 55.1%188 W · 153 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 59c | 125.28$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.94 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8af…44dcbacked Over | 11c | 118$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 78c | 113.15$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.89 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 47c | 105.88$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.43 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Over | 45c | 104.93$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 129 | 45%58 W · 71 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 143 | 35.7%51 W · 92 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x898a…499abacked Over | 32c | 92.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.53 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 48c | 88.32$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.71 | 250 | 44%110 W · 140 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…42dfbacked Under | 76c | 86.75$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.77 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked Under | 60c | 84.91$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.16 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…19e5backed Under | 71c | 84.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a98…3f93backed Over | 42c | 83.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…ce0abacked Over | 59c | 76.92$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.38 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Under | 37c | 65.78$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.44 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeceb…29a4backed Under | 69c | 65.08$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.19 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Over | 35c | 65.05$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.87 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b53…95c4backed Over | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 33c | 59.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2977…7c24backed Over | 45c | 54.57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbffb…a60ebacked Under | 40c | 50.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 58c | 50.01$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.84 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdd…c6bbbacked Over | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0614…ff8bbacked Over | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 59c | 47.57$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.73 | 218 | 44.5%97 W · 121 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 36c | 41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 187 | 42.2%79 W · 108 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf40…1e90backed Over | 42c | 40.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 35c | 37.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf72a…5d8ebacked Under | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed Under | 59c | 33.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over | 42c | 29.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffb3…fbafbacked Under | 59c | 29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc762…705fbacked Under | 60c | 28.68$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…36a2backed Over | 38c | 26.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd750…ce9cbacked Over | 42c | 26.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa150…44ebbacked Under | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1b…106cbacked Under | 59c | 23.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Under | 65c | 22.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.94 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4def…06e6backed Over | 46c | 21.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae4…e4a2backed Under | 70c | 19.41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.86 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed Under | 67c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 118 | 64.4%76 W · 42 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Under | 73c | 18.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.99 | 44 | 75%33 W · 11 L | +6.7wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x41d8…7233backed Under | 59c | 18.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…88e7backed Under | 60c | 17.24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Paranaense vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 2.5this page
- CA Paranaense vs. CR Flamengo: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CA Paranaense vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Paranaense vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Paranaense vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA Paranaense (-1.5)CR Flamengo won
- Spread: CA Paranaense (-2.5)CR Flamengo won
- Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5)CA Paranaense won
- Spread: CR Flamengo (-2.5)CA Paranaense won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.