South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Paranaense vs. CR Flamengo: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c7a0425f91021ccba703953c183e953a38eaa7a18a9670e32e54dffd7d007df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,441
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,045
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,441 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 46c | 2,536$1,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,364.97 | 71 | 25.4%18 W · 53 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1510…fe91backed Yes | 77c | 1,247$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.75 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 69c | 1,232$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.98 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 65c | 1,030$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.5 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed No | 53c | 805.52$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.25 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 55c | 715$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.25 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 35c | 613.54$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.74 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 47c | 395.95$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.63 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Yes | 68c | 380.31$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.95 | 157 | 68.2%107 W · 50 L | +21.8wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Yes | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +9.1wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 50c | 245$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.56 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 51c | 244.28$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.66 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed No | 49c | 213.05$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.72 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd73…4da1backed Yes | 50c | 205.72$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.01 | 153 | 26.1%40 W · 113 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked No | 51c | 196.54$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.37 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Yes | 56c | 187.58$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.2 | 129 | 45%58 W · 71 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9b61backed No | 53c | 164.41$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.2 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb39…1bacbacked Yes | 59c | 135.75$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.75 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 49c | 135.12$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.68 | 148 | 24.3%36 W · 112 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 51c | 134$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.29 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed No | 53c | 121.38$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.22 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 36c | 114.2$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.43 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b76…c036backed No | 19c | 113$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57bb…9302backed Yes | 50c | 101.02$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.51 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 35c | 98.52$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.06 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…810cbacked Yes | 31c | 98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed No | 25c | 96.15$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x125f…b7e8backed Yes | 66c | 74.24$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.24 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x898a…499abacked Yes | 30c | 74.07$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.85 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked No | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 39c | 56.7$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.59 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 42c | 55.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.44 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed No | 53c | 53.82$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.49 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Yes | 49c | 51.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.29 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0444…55a5backed No | 49c | 45.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.12 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb1…1998backed Yes | 41c | 36.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +147%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa636…dfe9backed Yes | 49c | 34.69$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.69 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x436f…63bcbacked Yes | 50c | 32.74$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed No | 31c | 32.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed Yes | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 108 | 75%81 W · 27 L | +16.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1bdf…f939backed Yes | 49c | 26.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe906…aa69backed Yes | 46c | 26.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeceb…29a4backed No | 51c | 25.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd750…ce9cbacked No | 51c | 25.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 47c | 24.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 70c | 23.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 308 | 58.4%180 W · 128 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…19e5backed No | 52c | 22.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x896a…6ac6backed Yes | 75c | 14.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.68 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed No | 78c | 14.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Paranaense vs. CR Flamengo: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- CA Paranaense vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Paranaense vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Paranaense vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Paranaense vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA Paranaense (-1.5)CR Flamengo won
- Spread: CA Paranaense (-2.5)CR Flamengo won
- Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5)CA Paranaense won
- Spread: CR Flamengo (-2.5)CA Paranaense won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.