Asian League · resolved market
Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4badba412c066b2684ca60a66b802363df108ad3fd0debdec2758b801a6c665b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,409
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,624
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,409 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 20c | 2,984$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 95 | 26.3%25 W · 70 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 80c | 1,667$1,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.03 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 26c | 413.77$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.02 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 13c | 384.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.02 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Over | 73c | 317$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.2 | 84 | 35.7%30 W · 54 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9b61backed Under | 24c | 257.49$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.8 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x40e8…88a4backed Over | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…f183backed Over | 75c | 132.08$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.02 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20b…3ae4backed Over | 76c | 129.92$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.18 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Over | 76c | 116.32$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.68 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Over | 75c | 108.27$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.07 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 225 | 44%99 W · 126 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf94c…8a42backed Under | 26c | 86.42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.47 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Over | 77c | 83.45$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.41 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -8.3wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -25%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 25c | 79.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ff…d970backed Over | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 25c | 58.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9883…1d31backed Under | 25c | 55.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae4…e4a2backed Over | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…19e5backed Over | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Over | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 45 | 71.1%32 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 77c | 16.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 326 | 54%176 W · 150 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeceb…29a4backed Over | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.56 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-1.5)Qingdao Xihaian FC won
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-2.5)Qingdao Xihaian FC won
- Spread: Qingdao Xihaian FC (-1.5)Dalian Yingbo FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.