Asian League · resolved market
Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b24e2eaea8ca379da3651d5c5fa4ba39e82079aa9c907e9d0d5c595079cd7c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,173
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,096
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,173 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 66c | 3,008$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Under | 29c | 2,011$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.36 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | +17.3wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 50c | 2,004$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 95 | 26.3%25 W · 70 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16e5…6373backed Over | 61c | 1,170$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.92 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 37c | 895$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.6 | 108 | 23.1%25 W · 83 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 44c | 766.84$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.15 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.43 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 510.16$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.04 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 64c | 488.13$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.14 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Over | 33c | 451.09$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.9 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x965b…1b6dbacked Under | 73c | 410.72$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f82…c446backed Over | 57c | 402.84$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da4…803ebacked Over | 57c | 400$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8c…3d1abacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf0…72cebacked Over | 61c | 358.47$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Over | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 84 | 35.7%30 W · 54 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 61c | 231.84$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.11 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Over | 54c | 167.34$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.92 | 189 | 52.9%100 W · 89 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 31c | 147.51$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.78 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.86 | 110 | 30.9%34 W · 76 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 55c | 130.2$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.65 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Under | 21c | 124.94$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.24 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Under | 21c | 123.81$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 129 | 41.1%53 W · 76 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90e4…58eabacked Under | 21c | 120.07$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.71 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -37%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed5…472bbacked Under | 80c | 120$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 334 | 52.7%176 W · 158 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7157…7ba4backed Under | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24a3…7c66backed Over | 58c | 91.38$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.38 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d4e…6478backed Over | 67c | 82.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.49 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 32c | 77.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.7 | 181 | 38.7%70 W · 111 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee5b…dac8backed Over | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 68c | 68.13$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.1 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 39c | 66.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdec…7ad6backed Over | 50c | 66.1$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.1 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Over | 44c | 64.09$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.79 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 56c | 55$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 120 | 74.2%89 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…d0d2backed Under | 50c | 52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 30c | 49.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.63 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 44c | 49.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Under | 33c | 48.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 50c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 257 | 42%108 W · 149 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 47c | 39.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.19 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5f…0614backed Over | 51c | 37.25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.25 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -42%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe875…8492backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa372…65bbbacked Under | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 66cpaid | -50%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-1.5)Qingdao Xihaian FC won
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-2.5)Qingdao Xihaian FC won
- Spread: Qingdao Xihaian FC (-1.5)Dalian Yingbo FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.