Asian League · resolved market
Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16064d72ac7f01d5cc26a09c51e4fc70a8a8cb6743cc3995d5e15e541a763b88
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,592
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,914
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,592 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 41c | 2,694$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 95 | 26.3%25 W · 70 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 60c | 1,049$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.25 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 62c | 725.91$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.33 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.8 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 48c | 397.07$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.51 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Over | 54c | 299.64$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.61 | 84 | 35.7%30 W · 54 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Over | 63c | 249.35$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.94 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x565a…3207backed Under | 39c | 228.21$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 46c | 189.1$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.14 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97dc…d8a5backed Over | 48c | 142.17$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.93 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 50c | 132$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 276 | 39.5%109 W · 167 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 22c | 130$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 78c | 130$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 120 | 74.2%89 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed Over | 23c | 115.86$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.05 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…8917backed Over | 79c | 115.86$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.33 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +8.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 61c | 114.75$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.75 | 334 | 52.7%176 W · 158 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Over | 52c | 113.46$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.46 | 129 | 41.1%53 W · 76 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 49c | 104.94$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.08 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 110 | 30.9%34 W · 76 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 64c | 97.32$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.04 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdec…7ad6backed Over | 66c | 73.56$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.01 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd13c…98a7backed Under | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.5wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…c991backed Over | 45c | 67.88$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.03 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 52c | 64.57$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.29 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9b61backed Under | 51c | 61.71$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.47 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 48c | 59.97$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.79 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 181 | 38.7%70 W · 111 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 46c | 46.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…1761backed Over | 49c | 45.82$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.32 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Under | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 63c | 43.48$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.09 | 375 | 59.2%222 W · 153 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Under | 51c | 43.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -8.3wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -25%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed Under | 51c | 42.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 48c | 37.81$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.81 | 257 | 42%108 W · 149 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 45c | 34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 49c | 31.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2481…878dbacked Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 49c | 28.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 225 | 44%99 W · 126 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 53c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-1.5)Qingdao Xihaian FC won
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-2.5)Qingdao Xihaian FC won
- Spread: Qingdao Xihaian FC (-1.5)Dalian Yingbo FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.