Asian League · resolved market
Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x286889a599556b36489ca4356d19fe25345f54fcc70e3b3d5b22a03b8fc7114b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,144
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,653
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,144 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Under | 26c | 999.98$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.41 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 76c | 376.72$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.72 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 75c | 313.51$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.06 | 1,766 | 50.2%887 W · 879 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 63c | 310.26$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.71 | 1,357 | 45.5%617 W · 740 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 75c | 288$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.98 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ff…84d1backed Over | 44c | 219.91$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.76 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 27c | 181.48$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.48 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4829…97ebbacked Over | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 26c | 153.85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.85 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 34c | 147.4$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.53 | 1,080 | 41.7%450 W · 630 L | -15.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked Under | 25c | 133.67$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.25 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -7.4wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…92b5backed Under | 58c | 118.97$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.97 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…1a00backed Over | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 32c | 101.04$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.22 | 2,520 | 39.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked Over | 74c | 97.2$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.93 | 126 | 60.3%76 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Under | 49c | 75.91$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.91 | 257 | 42%108 W · 149 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…ed2bbacked Over | 29c | 69.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x125c…f50abacked Over | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 61c | 66.19$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.49 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Over | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 134 | 63.4%85 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 24c | 63.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.8 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 280 | 40.4%113 W · 167 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe720…2bb3backed Under | 23c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.68per pick | 33cpaid | +236.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6216…1bd4backed Under | 26c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +5.6wins | +0.21per pick | 32cpaid | +79.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 76c | 42$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89e9…c4a3backed Under | 76c | 32.2$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Over | 75c | 28.48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -8.3wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -25%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Under | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 75c | 21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 162 | 52.5%85 W · 77 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Over | 76c | 20.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 75c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1,991 | 54.1%1,078 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Over | 76c | 17.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeceb…29a4backed Over | 75c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 76c | 14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 2.5this page
- Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Al Hazem SC (-1.5)Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Hazem SC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.