Asian League · resolved market
Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58180d09f2773b8327d76ad458e265900b7f64a33b62378f27b01d89c66760be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,421
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,175
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,421 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 36c | 2,620$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.05 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2444…4252backed Under | 48c | 2,186$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.66 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.7wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 52c | 1,800$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936 | 1,749 | 50.7%887 W · 862 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 75c | 1,600$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x684c…93dfbacked Over | 36c | 1,527$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.82 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -3.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed Under | 43c | 1,499$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.55 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Over | 57c | 1,499$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.55 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Over | 63c | 588.76$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.92 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 51c | 298$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.09 | 131 | 48.1%63 W · 68 L | -9.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 46c | 286.44$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.76 | 158 | 26.6%42 W · 116 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 52c | 269.31$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.12 | 1,357 | 45.5%617 W · 740 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 48c | 252.89$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.05 | 2,520 | 39.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Under | 47c | 229.78$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.88 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +10.9wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0d61…2641backed Under | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 47c | 199.99$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +6.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Over | 53c | 198.11$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 58c | 193.99$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.51 | 398 | 55.8%222 W · 176 L | +31.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Over | 55c | 188.02$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.17 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Under | 42c | 173.21$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.54 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 55c | 150$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.75 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe2…6829backed Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 45c | 82.22$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.22 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x24f1…6a07backed Under | 62c | 80.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 53c | 74.43$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.35 | 1,991 | 54.1%1,078 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 25c | 74.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 1,235 | 49.9%616 W · 619 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 49c | 71.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Under | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 201 | 50.7%102 W · 99 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 44c | 58.54$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.78 | 1,080 | 41.7%450 W · 630 L | -15.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 47c | 56.34$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.13 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Over | 54c | 55.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…92b5backed Under | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 51c | 54.12$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Over | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6216…1bd4backed Under | 48c | 49.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.99 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +5.6wins | +0.21per pick | 32cpaid | +79.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a8…daabbacked Over | 56c | 46.25$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 56c | 42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d70…d0a6backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc4…b2f8backed Over | 56c | 32.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Under | 42c | 28.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Over | 56c | 20.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 66c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 729 | 44.2%322 W · 407 L | -29.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Over | 64c | 18.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 3.5this page
- Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Al Hazem SC (-1.5)Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Hazem SC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.