TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Spread: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Al Hazem SCof Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club, Al Hazem SC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,711
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,642

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,711 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Al Hazem SC60c904.73$543 inWon+$361.662,52039.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club35c290.27$103 inLost-$102.832,52842.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L+53.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club35c200$70 inLost-$707353.4%39 W · 34 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club44c158$70 inLost-$69.521,99154.1%1,078 W · 913 L+29.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club43c148.15$64 inLost-$63.999458.5%55 W · 39 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Al Hazem SC64c110.28$71 inWon+$39.561,65150.9%840 W · 811 L+5.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club43c80.25$35 inLost-$34.621,35745.5%617 W · 740 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9267…0338backed Al Hazem SC62c80$50 inWon+$30.45475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+105.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club39c65$25 inLost-$25.351,66236.2%602 W · 1,060 L-34.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club39c59.97$24 inLost-$23.642451.2%217 W · 207 L+2.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5362…d242backed Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club33c59.39$20 inLost-$19.63828.9%11 W · 27 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-28%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club31c58.06$18 inLost-$1825742%108 W · 149 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Al Hazem SC34c50$17 inWon+$331,31956.7%748 W · 571 L+64.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa1a7…ace4backed Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club66c46.43$31 inLost-$30.6413655.9%76 W · 60 L+0.3wins0.00per pick56cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club36c41.77$15 inLost-$15.041,74950.7%887 W · 862 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65af…df77backed Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club49c40.82$20 inLost-$207252.8%38 W · 34 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Al Hazem SC60c32.42$19 inWon+$12.975253.8%28 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaedd…ad5bbacked Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club41c30.53$13 inLost-$12.557263.9%46 W · 26 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Al Hazem SC79c30$24 inWon+$6.31,08041.7%450 W · 630 L-15.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x17b6…af55backed Al Hazem SC64c20.21$13 inWon+$7.283868.4%26 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick70cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.