South American Leagues · resolved market
Red Bull Bragantino vs. EC Vitória: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c36754e9a3c074de08629a0ebd61c1410ca852fcee3c8c4e4bdfbe28c764477
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,928
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,755
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,928 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 58c | 1,366$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.46 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 33c | 947.63$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.72 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 49c | 765$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.72 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed No | 55c | 686.64$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.86 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 33c | 412.88$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.95 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4871…0742backed Yes | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 51c | 339.76$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.23 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 48c | 299.5$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.19 | 148 | 24.3%36 W · 112 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 49c | 183.97$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.14 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked No | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 68c | 161.58$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.23 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed No | 51c | 149.35$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.55 | 129 | 45%58 W · 71 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6190…5d90backed No | 68c | 142.06$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.46 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb39…1bacbacked Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 66c | 83.76$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.72 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked No | 51c | 68.98$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.8 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 49c | 68.43$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.55 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…28b8backed No | 51c | 56.16$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 61c | 52.13$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.49 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe547…a35abacked Yes | 51c | 45.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9b61backed No | 51c | 41.73$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.32 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 52c | 41.24$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae4…e4a2backed No | 51c | 40.49$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.84 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…19e5backed No | 51c | 34.58$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.78 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…36a2backed Yes | 39c | 34.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Yes | 50c | 34.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eae…8c33backed No | 51c | 30.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 416 | 54.3%226 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed No | 60c | 29.77$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa636…dfe9backed Yes | 51c | 29.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed No | 52c | 29.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe461…c5aebacked Yes | 44c | 23.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed No | 61c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.62 | 118 | 64.4%76 W · 42 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeceb…29a4backed No | 51c | 20.08$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. EC Vitória: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. EC Vitória: O/U 1.5Over won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. EC Vitória: O/U 2.5Under won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. EC Vitória: O/U 3.5Under won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. EC Vitória: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: EC Vitória (-1.5)Red Bull Bragantino won
- Spread: Red Bull Bragantino (-1.5)Red Bull Bragantino won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.