South American Leagues · resolved market
Red Bull Bragantino vs. EC Vitória: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d7cec7528e3b75091f9949467da6106c9c1e1e1d097f11ffba2166ab95781a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,738
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,322
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,738 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa36f…180bbacked Under | 48c | 23,100$11,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,079.45 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Over | 52c | 8,383$4,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,358.94 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 59c | 6,990$4,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,863.66 | 8,175 | 48.7%3,980 W · 4,195 L | +27.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…7191backed Over | 53c | 5,944$3,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,150.11 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Over | 52c | 5,505$2,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,862.53 | 173 | 50.3%87 W · 86 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Over | 33c | 2,940$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 160 | 45.6%73 W · 87 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 51c | 1,158$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.75 | 2,365 | 34.5%817 W · 1,548 L | -30.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 59c | 1,153$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.53 | 1,323 | 42.8%566 W · 757 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd1…7918backed Under | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.1 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Over | 48c | 990.68$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.12 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over | 48c | 937.5$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 97 | 14.4%14 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Over | 53c | 798.96$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.45 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6190…5d90backed Under | 72c | 687.19$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.21 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 52c | 582.31$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.51 | 2,004 | 51.3%1,028 W · 976 L | +41.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 59c | 539.45$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.3 | 2,175 | 43.6%948 W · 1,227 L | -56.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Under | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 61c | 431$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.79 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked Over | 53c | 390.86$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.16 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 34c | 372.97$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.92 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Over | 33c | 348.73$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1c…d8acbacked Under | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 50c | 299.96$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.91 | 148 | 24.3%36 W · 112 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 63c | 296.74$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.37 | 565 | 37.5%212 W · 353 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 47c | 281.91$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.2 | 151 | 41.1%62 W · 89 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 196 | 59.7%117 W · 79 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8cb…3e3fbacked Over | 47c | 191.49$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.39per pick | 41cpaid | +106.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Under | 65c | 181.65$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.17 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Over | 53c | 177.61$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.13 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 53c | 143.38$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.99 | 1,484 | 37.3%554 W · 930 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2444…4252backed Over | 52c | 136.3$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.88 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked Under | 75c | 120.26$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.26 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…7f73backed Over | 43c | 119.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.59 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9b61backed Over | 53c | 116.44$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.71 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Over | 47c | 110$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.7 | 144 | 35.4%51 W · 93 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 50c | 106$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 103 | 54.4%56 W · 47 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 50c | 87.39$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 1,324 | 50.1%663 W · 661 L | -14.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 30c | 86.18$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 5,821 | 45.4%2,642 W · 3,179 L | +97.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 15c | 76.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 1,339 | 56.9%762 W · 577 L | +55.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 64c | 73.56$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.48 | 1,055 | 49.3%520 W · 535 L | +14.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf83…3385backed Over | 55c | 71.42$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.28 | 115 | 38.3%44 W · 71 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 52c | 70.83$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.7 | 218 | 44.5%97 W · 121 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Under | 54c | 69.84$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 52c | 68$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.64 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6540…87e2backed Over | 32c | 67.92$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb85f…dfb5backed Over | 35c | 66.76$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b53…95c4backed Over | 32c | 66.19$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 62c | 64.48$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 192 | 64.1%123 W · 69 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505a…bb61backed Over | 40c | 62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +6.4wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 37c | 57.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.47 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 36c | 52.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 308 | 58.4%180 W · 128 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 25c | 52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3f…efffbacked Over | 37c | 51.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 86 | 68.6%59 W · 27 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Over | 42c | 43.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 48c | 39.51$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.68 | 813 | 56.5%459 W · 354 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…077dbacked Over | 47c | 37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x896a…6ac6backed Under | 67c | 31.45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…19e5backed Over | 49c | 27.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 60c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 209 | 58.4%122 W · 87 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed Over | 44c | 22.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Under | 57c | 19.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Under | 53c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. EC Vitória: O/U 2.5this page
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. EC Vitória: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. EC Vitória: O/U 1.5Over won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. EC Vitória: O/U 3.5Under won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. EC Vitória: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: EC Vitória (-1.5)Red Bull Bragantino won
- Spread: Red Bull Bragantino (-1.5)Red Bull Bragantino won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.