South American Leagues · resolved market
CA River Plate vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5a5c1157845caa834e98aed8758dde94fa1220ac3b2903e4a015f99f6ba006e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,270
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,557
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,270 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc283…b876backed Over | 39c | 3,196$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.46 | 79 | 22.8%18 W · 61 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 64c | 2,657$1,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.71 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Over | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 58c | 1,092$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.51 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked Under | 60c | 913.99$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.94 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 28c | 671.61$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.81 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 40c | 501.25$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 68c | 363.74$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.45 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 58c | 290.42$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.97 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc115…9138backed Over | 42c | 237.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.91 | 100 | 31%31 W · 69 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 62c | 190.77$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.34 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 40c | 182$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.8 | 213 | 49.8%106 W · 107 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 33c | 178.58$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.93 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Under | 59c | 163.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.49 | 196 | 59.7%117 W · 79 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 69c | 150$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 75c | 133.07$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.87 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 58c | 110.49$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.41 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 41c | 106.38$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.62 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 40c | 99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Under | 60c | 79.56$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.03 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 58c | 73.07$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.69 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 58c | 68$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8837…07d7backed Under | 66c | 66$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 58c | 55$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 166 | 53.6%89 W · 77 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 70c | 54.8$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…5856backed Over | 60c | 49.11$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.47 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 60c | 45.01$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.16 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Over | 42c | 41.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.41 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +38%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Under | 60c | 40.01$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.14 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…19e5backed Under | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeceb…29a4backed Under | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.22 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08cd…4edbbacked Over | 42c | 39.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Under | 60c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.15 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 33c | 34.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 34c | 30.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Under | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 106 | 54.7%58 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea97…a471backed Under | 70c | 28.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3c…78a5backed Under | 59c | 27.12$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…d9b8backed Over | 42c | 26.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +41%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 70c | 16.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.01 | 192 | 64.1%123 W · 69 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA River Plate vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: O/U 2.5this page
- CA River Plate vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA River Plate vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA River Plate vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA River Plate vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CA River Plate (-1.5)CA River Plate won
- Spread: CA River Plate (-2.5)Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.