TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Minnesota Twins

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Minnesota Twinsof Milwaukee Brewers, Minnesota Twins
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$268,042
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$275,006

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $268,042 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 267 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc807…c12bbacked Milwaukee Brewers55c131,992$72,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72,595.8550153.5%268 W · 233 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Minnesota Twins45c111,111$50,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61,111.0423948.5%116 W · 123 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Milwaukee Brewers54c13,545$7,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,314.141,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e64…336dbacked Minnesota Twins44c11,847$5,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,634.4644945.4%204 W · 245 L-13.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Minnesota Twins63c11,846$7,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,418.0710,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Minnesota Twins45c10,000$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,50055052.4%288 W · 262 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Minnesota Twins76c6,561$4,971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,590.774,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Minnesota Twins46c5,473$2,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,982.843,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd14…d62abacked Minnesota Twins46c5,435$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,934.7824344.4%108 W · 135 L-11.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Minnesota Twins47c5,405$2,513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,891.4428042.1%118 W · 162 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa742…68c5backed Milwaukee Brewers56c5,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8009560%57 W · 38 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Milwaukee Brewers23c3,929$897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$897.1811,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf11…c679backed Minnesota Twins47c3,863$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,063.0928944.3%128 W · 161 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Minnesota Twins45c3,000$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,65077951.1%398 W · 381 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Milwaukee Brewers39c2,966$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,170.4812,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Minnesota Twins45c2,215$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,213.471,51551.1%774 W · 741 L+7.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Milwaukee Brewers56c2,156$1,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,207.631,91253%1,014 W · 898 L+42.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Minnesota Twins46c2,000$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0902,40748.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L-62.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e46…42dfbacked Milwaukee Brewers1c1,853$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4617250.6%87 W · 85 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc44d…935cbacked Milwaukee Brewers39c1,850$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721.54555.6%25 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Milwaukee Brewers56c1,820$1,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.21,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b8b…15babacked Minnesota Twins54c1,760$956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803.74366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+16%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Milwaukee Brewers7c1,508$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.581,45642.7%622 W · 834 L-39.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Minnesota Twins44c1,500$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8402,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Milwaukee Brewers46c1,469$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681.088,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Milwaukee Brewers54c1,403$758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757.872,29348.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Milwaukee Brewers55c1,378$758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757.861,21547.6%578 W · 637 L-19.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Milwaukee Brewers55c1,378$758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757.861,10648.7%539 W · 567 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Milwaukee Brewers55c1,372$761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$760.6573748.4%357 W · 380 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7268…78abbacked Milwaukee Brewers1c1,302$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0220040%80 W · 120 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Milwaukee Brewers53c1,250$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.4744451.1%227 W · 217 L+1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Milwaukee Brewers53c1,217$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.8360451%308 W · 296 L-2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadf0…00fbbacked Milwaukee Brewers54c1,200$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64849250.4%248 W · 244 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Milwaukee Brewers35c1,185$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.932,02139.5%798 W · 1,223 L-25.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b15…fa73backed Minnesota Twins63c1,171$736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.0433864.2%217 W · 121 L+23.1wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+11.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Milwaukee Brewers40c1,142$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.84,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Milwaukee Brewers44c1,129$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.181,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Milwaukee Brewers37c1,094$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001,13742.6%484 W · 653 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Milwaukee Brewers31c1,065$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.012,14750.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L+27.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Milwaukee Brewers18c1,039$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.025,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc31…971fbacked Milwaukee Brewers37c1,018$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.432850.3%165 W · 163 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7265…8712backed Minnesota Twins45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5508557.6%49 W · 36 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Milwaukee Brewers55c999.97$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.9870744.7%316 W · 391 L-22.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd181…5136backed Minnesota Twins49c992.31$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.421060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Milwaukee Brewers55c975.35$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.013,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc480…937abacked Milwaukee Brewers32c916.19$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.7711129.7%33 W · 78 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Milwaukee Brewers34c894.31$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.7732751.7%169 W · 158 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed Milwaukee Brewers40c854.35$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34211547%54 W · 61 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4137…586cbacked Milwaukee Brewers53c852.09$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.613148.4%15 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Minnesota Twins45c837.37$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.176,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Milwaukee Brewers37c787.68$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.791,49958.9%883 W · 616 L+75.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf80f…549bbacked Milwaukee Brewers6c752.18$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.543551.4%18 W · 17 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Milwaukee Brewers23c727.52$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.9321841.3%90 W · 128 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Minnesota Twins72c717.54$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.081,12144.1%494 W · 627 L-32.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Milwaukee Brewers40c695$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2789666.7%64 W · 32 L+16.4wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+36.4%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Milwaukee Brewers26c685.73$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.089,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed Minnesota Twins68c684.67$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.2247589.1%423 W · 52 L+84.9wins+0.18per pick71cpaid+25%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Minnesota Twins44c632.7$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.782,24357.6%1,293 W · 950 L+37.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5a6…6991backed Minnesota Twins63c628.89$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.8239739.5%157 W · 240 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x782b…ff64backed Minnesota Twins60c608.5$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.7550860.2%306 W · 202 L+29.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Milwaukee Brewers51c586$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.862,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked Minnesota Twins44c564$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.8446749.5%231 W · 236 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0574…3ee0backed Milwaukee Brewers9c555.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502817.9%5 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-28.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Minnesota Twins60c533.33$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.331,07558.3%627 W · 448 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Milwaukee Brewers28c520.23$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.172,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d57…18ddbacked Minnesota Twins75c514.41$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.2511947.1%56 W · 63 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Milwaukee Brewers15c481.68$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88fb…db3abacked Minnesota Twins46c428.26$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.2673243.4%318 W · 414 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba14…b792backed Minnesota Twins45c408$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.444643.3%193 W · 253 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x20e5…118dbacked Milwaukee Brewers55c402.89$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.0751449.2%253 W · 261 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed Milwaukee Brewers41c400.99$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.818149.2%89 W · 92 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Milwaukee Brewers40c400$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.670735.1%248 W · 459 L-31.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked Minnesota Twins45c400$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22039850.3%200 W · 198 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f07…9d0fbacked Milwaukee Brewers41c400$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16427552.4%144 W · 131 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Milwaukee Brewers50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20038444.3%170 W · 214 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd991…faeabacked Minnesota Twins47c385.75$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.7540449.3%199 W · 205 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4748…9666backed Milwaukee Brewers54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005352.8%28 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Milwaukee Brewers56c357.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20040753.6%218 W · 189 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72f3…d396backed Minnesota Twins47c353.61$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.6150647%238 W · 268 L-21.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Milwaukee Brewers40c350$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.6565651.2%336 W · 320 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked Minnesota Twins45c333.33$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.3343247%203 W · 229 L-19.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6676…22f3backed Minnesota Twins47c321.92$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.9252947.4%251 W · 278 L-24.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked Minnesota Twins60c311.27$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.6460348.6%293 W · 310 L-1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x081b…1c6abacked Minnesota Twins67c304.78$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.784445.5%20 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Minnesota Twins46c300$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16234648.6%168 W · 178 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Minnesota Twins77c291.93$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.9779147.9%379 W · 412 L+3.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Milwaukee Brewers51c282.31$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.9847545.9%218 W · 257 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8adc…7a1bbacked Milwaukee Brewers28c266.45$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752630.8%8 W · 18 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick23cpaid+55.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f9b…a181backed Minnesota Twins46c258.09$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.0920543.9%90 W · 115 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x18c6…a4dbbacked Minnesota Twins45c258$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.921057.6%121 W · 89 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb767…d848backed Minnesota Twins75c254$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.911662.9%73 W · 43 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed Minnesota Twins45c245$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.7568846.8%322 W · 366 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed Minnesota Twins45c242.28$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.0547652.9%252 W · 224 L+17.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Minnesota Twins44c230$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.81,43550%717 W · 718 L+25.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Minnesota Twins44c228$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.684755.3%26 W · 21 L+5.6wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+24.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xea6e…7c46backed Minnesota Twins46c226.32$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.3267449.4%333 W · 341 L-28.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ba7…67a1backed Milwaukee Brewers56c224.52$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.7337052.2%193 W · 177 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x58db…6901backed Minnesota Twins45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.2215944.7%71 W · 88 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Minnesota Twins73c219.99$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.617252.9%91 W · 81 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a0a…75acbacked Minnesota Twins46c219.74$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.7946546%214 W · 251 L-17.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.