Mls · resolved market
Houston Dynamo vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74e10673ed2fb417e1f16fe6785f973ef6b9ac59571568f87a816bbe2109baaa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,975
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,885
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,975 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 37c | 8,534$3,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,157.64 | 278 | 37.8%105 W · 173 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 38c | 5,236$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.99 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 66c | 5,211$3,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,783.99 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 69c | 2,173$1,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.32 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 10c | 1,451$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 63c | 1,401$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.37 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 63c | 1,319$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.13 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Under | 61c | 1,111$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.24 | 122 | 63.1%77 W · 45 L | +10.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Over | 37c | 895.16$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.21 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 63c | 813.51$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.5 | 351 | 49.6%174 W · 177 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 62c | 613$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.25 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 66 | 25.8%17 W · 49 L | -8.1wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 64c | 468.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.75 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 63c | 466$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 63c | 445$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.04 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 6c | 429.77$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.9 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 63c | 295$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.15 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Under | 64c | 265.78$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.68 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc02a…b43fbacked Over | 36c | 249.8$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.93 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked Under | 64c | 234.38$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.38 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 79c | 233$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.32 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under | 61c | 156$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.84 | 144 | 59.7%86 W · 58 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Under | 61c | 140$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Under | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 152 | 59.9%91 W · 61 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Under | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 134 | 61.2%82 W · 52 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6af…b5efbacked Over | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 64c | 81.77$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.66 | 248 | 59.3%147 W · 101 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 33c | 60.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 294 | 60.5%178 W · 116 L | +36.5wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 36c | 59.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 34c | 55.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 311 | 58.5%182 W · 129 L | +27.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 63c | 52.6$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.46 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -10.9wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 63c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.57 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 84 | 65.5%55 W · 29 L | +16.4wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…19e5backed Under | 64c | 36.25$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea47…d64bbacked Under | 64c | 35.25$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Under | 64c | 33.64$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.11 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e35…3655backed Over | 34c | 30.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 168 | 53.6%90 W · 78 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb630…e38ebacked Under | 64c | 28.13$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Under | 64c | 27.32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeceb…29a4backed Under | 64c | 26.02$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Under | 63c | 22.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Under | 64c | 22.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae4…e4a2backed Under | 64c | 20.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed Under | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 61cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb4…9cb8backed Under | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Under | 64c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…28b8backed Under | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Houston Dynamo vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Houston Dynamo vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Houston Dynamo vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Houston Dynamo vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Houston Dynamo vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Houston Dynamo (-1.5)Vancouver Whitecaps FC won
- Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-1.5)Houston Dynamo won
- Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-2.5)Houston Dynamo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.