Mls · resolved market
Houston Dynamo vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe316367e9f9592aee93a65e111c108c1b98de5ac199cc08f682111891899a73
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,942
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,484
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,942 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 43c | 11,538$4,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,618.53 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Over | 58c | 9,000$5,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,220 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 59c | 3,652$2,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,154.67 | 278 | 37.8%105 W · 173 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Under | 48c | 3,477$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,796.22 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 24c | 2,829$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 67c | 2,317$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.38 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 43c | 1,945$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.48 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 44c | 1,910$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.69 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 34c | 1,751$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.31 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 59c | 1,356$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 190 | 44.7%85 W · 105 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 60c | 1,347$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.63 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 22c | 1,279$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.33 | 66 | 25.8%17 W · 49 L | -8.1wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 41c | 1,060$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.19 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -5.7wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 41c | 999.99$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Under | 65c | 842.22$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.14 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 41c | 632.39$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.11 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 73c | 622.98$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.26 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 56c | 600$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 51c | 581.37$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.53 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 62c | 552.68$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.53 | 461 | 56.2%259 W · 202 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Over | 24c | 422.35$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.37 | 135 | 18.5%25 W · 110 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 73c | 415.01$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.27 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked Under | 42c | 351.79$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.04 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30da…a11dbacked Over | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 49c | 324.12$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.69 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc52…dfcebacked Over | 58c | 259.93$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.76 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e82…4cfbbacked Under | 58c | 188.55$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 41c | 158.98$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.4 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6af…b5efbacked Over | 58c | 137.93$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Under | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed Under | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 156 | 38.5%60 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 58c | 102.74$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.15 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 351 | 49.6%174 W · 177 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 24c | 94$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 61c | 90$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.38 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 22c | 86.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…1761backed Over | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.25per pick | 61cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 52c | 76.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.79 | 168 | 53.6%90 W · 78 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa52…eababacked Under | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 59c | 67.4$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.77 | 294 | 60.5%178 W · 116 L | +36.5wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 57c | 66.49$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.93 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Under | 48c | 64$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.23 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 37c | 57$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 60c | 56.3$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.78 | 311 | 58.5%182 W · 129 L | +27.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…36a2backed Under | 43c | 56.04$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +133.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb4…9cb8backed Under | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 55c | 49.42$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.07 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Under | 43c | 49.26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78d7…291dbacked Under | 70c | 48$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Over | 44c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Under | 64c | 43.27$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.44 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89e9…c4a3backed Over | 60c | 42.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 84 | 65.5%55 W · 29 L | +16.4wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x505a…bb61backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Over | 59c | 37.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41d8…7233backed Under | 42c | 36.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae4…e4a2backed Over | 59c | 36.43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 28c | 36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +12.0wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +83%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 58c | 35.71$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.06 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 41c | 35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 80c | 33.57$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d76…517cbacked Under | 80c | 31.49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +34%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…19e5backed Over | 59c | 31.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…d416backed Under | 57c | 23.32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Under | 80c | 18.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.67 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7eae…8c33backed Under | 79c | 15.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Houston Dynamo vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Houston Dynamo vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Houston Dynamo vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Houston Dynamo vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Houston Dynamo vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Houston Dynamo (-1.5)Vancouver Whitecaps FC won
- Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-1.5)Houston Dynamo won
- Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-2.5)Houston Dynamo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.