Mls · resolved market
Houston Dynamo vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61dd3da8fa58f8152218e45273fe302b4b9e464184a42050f0f15816fb3a3593
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,959
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,413
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,959 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 48c | 4,337$2,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,098.5 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 42c | 4,314$1,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,520.79 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 54c | 2,920$1,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,336.15 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 15c | 729.44$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.29 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e0…826dbacked Over | 49c | 620$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 23c | 500$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.92 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 55c | 386.61$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.13 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 47c | 386.3$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.49 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…fa81backed Under | 64c | 317.56$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.79 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 41c | 299.86$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.2 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…09cabacked Over | 44c | 295.45$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 53c | 283.65$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +5.7wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 52c | 246.9$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 58c | 245.97$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.29 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Under | 75c | 199.99$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.23 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Over | 51c | 197.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 77c | 141.66$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.35 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Over | 41c | 130$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.3 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 41c | 104.22$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.31 | 168 | 53.6%90 W · 78 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 47c | 100.16$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.66 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 18c | 94.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 78c | 93.8$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.16 | 205 | 54.6%112 W · 93 L | +17.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 26c | 83.26$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 27c | 75.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 19c | 75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 31c | 51.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 78c | 51$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.78 | 294 | 60.5%178 W · 116 L | +36.5wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 78c | 48.2$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 311 | 58.5%182 W · 129 L | +27.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 43c | 46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…c208backed Over | 31c | 42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 37c | 36.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Over | 53c | 27.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 161 | 59.6%96 W · 65 L | +18.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 66c | 24.59$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…f7c2backed Over | 73c | 17.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Houston Dynamo vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Houston Dynamo vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Houston Dynamo vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Houston Dynamo vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Houston Dynamo vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Houston Dynamo (-1.5)Vancouver Whitecaps FC won
- Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-1.5)Houston Dynamo won
- Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-2.5)Houston Dynamo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.