Mls · resolved market
D.C. United SC vs. Chicago Fire FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74693f7633123c2db8e258a8ed4200efb81b3261d024269d178f56db312d56c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,412
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,947
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,412 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 59c | 5,458$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,257.94 | 190 | 44.7%85 W · 105 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 47c | 4,255$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,255.13 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 53c | 3,008$1,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,594.11 | 461 | 56.2%259 W · 202 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 53c | 2,503$1,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,336.5 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 43c | 1,314$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.71 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…32c9backed Over | 57c | 1,140$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.19 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 41c | 1,129$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.23 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 57c | 1,122$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.6 | 278 | 37.8%105 W · 173 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 42c | 1,055$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.28 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Over | 48c | 999.99$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.99 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 43c | 703.87$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.28 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 45c | 684.65$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.09 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Under | 41c | 600$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 43c | 528.37$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.55 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 43c | 522.26$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.32 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Under | 53c | 479.5$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.87 | 220 | 42.7%94 W · 126 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Under | 41c | 472.72$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.82 | 172 | 58.1%100 W · 72 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Over | 51c | 395.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.72 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 37c | 391.48$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.31 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 43c | 353.23$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.52 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 43c | 309$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.64 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 189 | 67.2%127 W · 62 L | +21.1wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Under | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 131 | 58.8%77 W · 54 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 52c | 293.96$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.81 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 42c | 293.67$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.34 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 68c | 290.79$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.41 | 187 | 74.3%139 W · 48 L | +33.5wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 41c | 273.83$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.51 | 395 | 67.1%265 W · 130 L | +60.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Under | 43c | 260$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.8 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under | 41c | 260$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.6 | 121 | 62%75 W · 46 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 52c | 230$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.4 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Over | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 52c | 186.27$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.44 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Over | 54c | 185.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.74 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 66cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Over | 55c | 182.44$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.94 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 52c | 171.68$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.27 | 309 | 57%176 W · 133 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…5292backed Under | 50c | 160$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Under | 41c | 156$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.96 | 146 | 60.3%88 W · 58 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under | 41c | 156$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.96 | 144 | 59.7%86 W · 58 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…8917backed Over | 64c | 154.56$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.37 | 79 | 62%49 W · 30 L | +8.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 65c | 152.6$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.41 | 222 | 69.4%154 W · 68 L | +31.4wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Over | 65c | 152.6$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.41 | 156 | 76.9%120 W · 36 L | +32.7wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 51c | 151.68$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.21 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Over | 65c | 151.64$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.45 | 89 | 71.9%64 W · 25 L | +17.2wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 35c | 138.18$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.23 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc02a…b43fbacked Over | 57c | 138$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.34 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked Over | 57c | 133.81$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.02 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 55c | 127.08$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.85 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 56c | 110$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.4 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505a…bb61backed Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Under | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6af…b5efbacked Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…810cbacked Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 32c | 84.21$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under | 41c | 80$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 43c | 75.26$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.41 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Over | 56c | 65.04$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 30c | 64.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 53c | 60.38$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…19e5backed Over | 57c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.78 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Over | 56c | 53.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.91 | 135 | 18.5%25 W · 110 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…5856backed Over | 78c | 50.85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Over | 57c | 45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.34 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb4…9cb8backed Under | 44c | 43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 37c | 37.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.67 | 294 | 60.5%178 W · 116 L | +36.5wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 84 | 65.5%55 W · 29 L | +16.4wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Over | 57c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.01 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…8ffabacked Over | 54c | 34.63$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed Under | 43c | 33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed Under | 45c | 32.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 61cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 168 | 53.6%90 W · 78 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeceb…29a4backed Under | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Over | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6216…1bd4backed Under | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 135 | 57.8%78 W · 57 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Under | 43c | 29.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | -11.4wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Under | 44c | 28.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37a1…c13bbacked Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Over | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Over | 56c | 24.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…dfe8backed Over | 55c | 23.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79cf…91abbacked Under | 47c | 23.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2444…4252backed Under | 44c | 23.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6681…abc8backed Under | 49c | 21.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4b…0b44backed Over | 75c | 20.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.03 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Over | 66c | 20.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Over | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…d9b8backed Over | 58c | 19.87$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +111.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- D.C. United SC vs. Chicago Fire FC: O/U 2.5this page
- D.C. United SC vs. Chicago Fire FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- D.C. United SC vs. Chicago Fire FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- D.C. United SC vs. Chicago Fire FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- D.C. United SC vs. Chicago Fire FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: D.C. United SC (-1.5)Chicago Fire FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.