South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Rosario Central vs. Racing Club: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x933329f8cc8eb8af7620cda4aef18041b433937ec3a9f56ab841ad17e37d6abc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,761
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,997
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,761 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked Over | 1c | 26,138$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +94.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5e…fd91backed Under | 56c | 2,578$1,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.21 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +39%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Over | 36c | 1,389$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 66c | 1,330$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.65 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 64c | 1,103$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.23 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.65 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…8793backed Over | 26c | 908.83$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 71c | 871.51$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.1 | 2,519 | 39%982 W · 1,537 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc283…b876backed Over | 35c | 797.64$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.17 | 79 | 22.8%18 W · 61 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Under | 57c | 742.98$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.7 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 27c | 633$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.52 | 200 | 22.5%45 W · 155 L | -13.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 47c | 484.09$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.47 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 42c | 482$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.15 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d54…4d13backed Over | 45c | 393.17$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.93 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -9.0wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc115…9138backed Over | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 100 | 31%31 W · 69 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 27c | 256.3$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.99 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Under | 64c | 235.99$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.96 | 230 | 56.5%130 W · 100 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 65c | 218.02$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.31 | 1,303 | 50.1%653 W · 650 L | -14.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…5856backed Over | 72c | 217.11$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.19 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 72c | 213.52$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.97 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 64c | 203.32$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.2 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 141 | 61%86 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 64c | 196$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.56 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 47c | 180.6$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 31cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 34c | 175.7$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.74 | 2,287 | 34.3%784 W · 1,503 L | -30.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 68c | 164.73$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.48 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 69c | 158.42$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.55 | 2,173 | 43.6%948 W · 1,225 L | -55.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 40c | 149.15$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.02 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505a…bb61backed Over | 28c | 143$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +6.4wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 42c | 118$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 42c | 114$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.88 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Under | 64c | 113.86$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.99 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 34c | 109.39$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.93 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 64c | 107.54$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.71 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 65c | 106.33$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.22 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 35c | 102.04$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.71 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 66c | 100.48$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.16 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5279…a8dbbacked Over | 46c | 99.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 55c | 94.48$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.52 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 270 | 31.5%85 W · 185 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 36c | 82.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.61 | 359 | 58.8%211 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 64c | 80$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 2,614 | 54.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a9…5c31backed Over | 37c | 71.34$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.18 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 65c | 70.79$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.69 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…19e5backed Under | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.89 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9522…7af0backed Over | 74c | 59.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.39 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 50c | 57$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.43 | 168 | 45.2%76 W · 92 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc92d…9691backed Over | 45c | 56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Under | 65c | 55$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.15 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Under | 65c | 55$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeceb…29a4backed Under | 65c | 43.89$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Under | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.15 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e72…117abacked Under | 70c | 38.16$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…390dbacked Under | 66c | 36.4$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Under | 53c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 183 | 59%108 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08cd…4edbbacked Over | 35c | 34.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 106 | 54.7%58 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Under | 67c | 28.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Rosario Central vs. Racing Club: O/U 2.5this page
- CA Rosario Central vs. Racing Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CA Rosario Central vs. Racing Club: O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Rosario Central vs. Racing Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Rosario Central vs. Racing Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Rosario Central vs. Racing Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- CA Rosario Central vs. Racing Club: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CA Rosario Central (-1.5)Racing Club won
- Spread: CA Rosario Central (-2.5)Racing Club won
- Spread: Racing Club (-1.5)CA Rosario Central won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.