South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Rosario Central vs. Racing Club: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0fdc533744d0191ddd2fefb75195388093ee42010f94054f8affbfcfcecddae1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,529
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,843
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,529 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Over | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.5 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 36c | 1,179$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.66 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 34c | 958.66$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.92 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa359…4387backed Over | 64c | 772.16$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.98 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 67c | 747.66$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.66 | 141 | 61%86 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 36c | 670.75$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.47 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 75c | 534$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 35c | 408.36$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.12 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Under | 19c | 390.72$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.24 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked Over | 63c | 382.87$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.66 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 35c | 354.26$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.92 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff8…d7fdbacked Under | 16c | 305.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e02…3667backed Under | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 63c | 299.96$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.99 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 62c | 293.54$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.54 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked Under | 38c | 283.02$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.49 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 44c | 252.96$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.81 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 63c | 226$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.52 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 38c | 221.53$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.18 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Under | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 36c | 192.93$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.45 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 32c | 150$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 39c | 145.81$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.24 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Over | 46c | 139.97$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.69 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb262…9b98backed Over | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a9…5c31backed Over | 78c | 135.87$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.97 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Under | 36c | 127.26$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.81 | 248 | 55.2%137 W · 111 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed Under | 9c | 126$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 63 | 15.9%10 W · 53 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 39c | 125.82$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.07 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 36c | 125$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked Over | 62c | 115.8$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 129 | 58.1%75 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 74c | 97$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.22 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0348…3d81backed Under | 26c | 97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.22 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…1d41backed Over | 56c | 88.19$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.81 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 37c | 85$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Under | 37c | 85$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Under | 37c | 85$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 37c | 81.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.27 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Over | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Over | 54c | 74.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.18 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 68c | 70.91$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.76 | 200 | 22.5%45 W · 155 L | -13.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 62c | 63$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…fa81backed Under | 24c | 56.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Under | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…19e5backed Under | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 62c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 308 | 58.4%180 W · 128 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d70…d0a6backed Under | 61c | 32.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 43c | 32.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 341 | 55.1%188 W · 153 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x623a…5144backed Over | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed Over | 60c | 25.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 118 | 64.4%76 W · 42 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 79c | 20.95$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Rosario Central vs. Racing Club: O/U 1.5this page
- CA Rosario Central vs. Racing Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CA Rosario Central vs. Racing Club: O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Rosario Central vs. Racing Club: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Rosario Central vs. Racing Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Rosario Central vs. Racing Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- CA Rosario Central vs. Racing Club: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CA Rosario Central (-1.5)Racing Club won
- Spread: CA Rosario Central (-2.5)Racing Club won
- Spread: Racing Club (-1.5)CA Rosario Central won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.