TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$88,658
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$112,030

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,658 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x38f0…2768backed Under52c22,755$11,821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,820.913650%18 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Under51c12,756$6,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,505.491540%6 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Over49c12,755$6,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,505.11145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Over49c3,439$1,678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,761.334658.7%27 W · 19 L+0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over47c3,426$1,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,809.896740.3%27 W · 40 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Over48c3,200$1,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,66418353%97 W · 86 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under50c2,712$1,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,355.7882842.4%351 W · 477 L+19.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Over48c2,400$1,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,24812050%60 W · 60 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa742…68c5backed Over48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0402853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over48c1,816$872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944.143619.4%7 W · 29 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-39.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under34c1,471$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009526.3%25 W · 70 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Over48c1,397$671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$726.4413154.2%71 W · 60 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under52c1,345$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.871,72550.6%873 W · 852 L+28.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under52c1,278$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.281,76450.2%886 W · 878 L+31.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Over48c1,200$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62417247.1%81 W · 91 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Over48c1,184$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.6816856%94 W · 74 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Over48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52015349.7%76 W · 77 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under51c982.37$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.522,42438%920 W · 1,504 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Over48c920$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.417757.6%102 W · 75 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under52c917.12$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.965,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Over48c800$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41621152.1%110 W · 101 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Over48c800$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41614453.5%77 W · 67 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1f42…a8febacked Under53c799.45$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.71650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-28.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Over47c787.23$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.231546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over62c763.41$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.042,52242.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L+54.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87b5…03c8backed Over45c663.19$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+121.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Under52c651.54$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.4612741.7%53 W · 74 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Over48c600$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31215454.5%84 W · 70 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Over48c600$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31216152.2%84 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under51c545.01$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.022,49140%997 W · 1,494 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Over48c520$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.415050.7%76 W · 74 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Over48c520$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.414452.1%75 W · 69 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Over45c499.94$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.9712250%61 W · 61 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over47c438.66$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.49540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-30%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41a4…6f49backed Over50c415$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.5520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-60%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under55c407.52$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.471,52254.9%835 W · 687 L+5.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70dc…1783backed Over67c403.8$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.11747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed Over50c395.13$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.793246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x780f…5f16backed Under53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004146.3%19 W · 22 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under53c354.57$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.751,64736.2%596 W · 1,051 L-34.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ca…117abacked Over38c350$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21722642.5%96 W · 130 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Over48c320$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.412652.4%66 W · 60 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Over48c312$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.2418256%102 W · 80 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Over48c312$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.2414953.7%80 W · 69 L-0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Over47c308.55$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.6616759.9%100 W · 67 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over49c296$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.131,65150.9%840 W · 811 L+5.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Over48c280$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.616154.7%88 W · 73 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x565a…3207backed Under52c271.5$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa5b…9b61backed Under54c262.41$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.083441.2%14 W · 20 L-4.6wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-31.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over48c260$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.293446.1%431 W · 503 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over48c260$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.21,11746.2%516 W · 601 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under59c257.73$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.111,06342%446 W · 617 L-12.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over53c244.4$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.47255.6%40 W · 32 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c76…862dbacked Under53c244.02$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.334032.5%13 W · 27 L-7.4wins-0.19per pick51cpaid-31.9%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x1513…831abacked Under56c235.34$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1323464.7%22 W · 12 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x29d3…ccf6backed Over48c227.92$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.922441.7%10 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe626…92b5backed Under53c212.53$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.22268.2%15 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+25.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2490…aa08backed Over48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.331656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over42c204.08$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.1439655.8%221 W · 175 L+31.2wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+18.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7ed9…b344backed Under15c201.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over38c200$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12429745.1%134 W · 163 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Over48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10416255.6%90 W · 72 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Over48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10412951.9%67 W · 62 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Over48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10417953.6%96 W · 83 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over48c199.99$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10421449.1%105 W · 109 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a16…9d73backed Under51c198.1$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.676439.1%25 W · 39 L-8.3wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-25%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under27c183.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8292835%325 W · 603 L-22.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-33.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b76…c036backed Under19c168$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.52119%4 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick19cpaid+9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked Over48c160$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.210156.4%57 W · 44 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8633452.7%176 W · 158 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under51c133.09$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.3139649.7%197 W · 199 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over48c125$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651,97054.4%1,071 W · 899 L+32.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over46c122.71$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.8411661.2%71 W · 45 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x39f6…abe1backed Over75c115.32$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.77866.7%52 W · 26 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over54c114.1$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.1132457.1%185 W · 139 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Under50c108.91$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.9215826.6%42 W · 116 L-13.5wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-32.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Over47c106.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.173548.6%17 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under52c104.22$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.240156.4%226 W · 175 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcce5…7eb2backed Over48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.172437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-29.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0bf0…72cebacked Over55c103.57$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.372100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under22c102.82$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8158542.7%250 W · 335 L-27.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaad3…d0d2backed Under57c101.44$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.778146.9%38 W · 43 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Over45c99.98$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.9917545.7%80 W · 95 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x74e0…d590backed Under52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7066…50e5backed Over53c95.09$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.096355.6%35 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc0f9…92e3backed Over50c90$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455050%25 W · 25 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x697e…9904backed Under59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502425%6 W · 18 L-4.6wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-47.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x133b…5856backed Over66c81.6$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.352437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-34.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over48c81.25$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.2519751.8%102 W · 95 L+15.3wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+19.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xecee…2120backed Over45c80.04$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.02366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+125.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed Over48c80$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.612354.5%67 W · 56 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x961a…e91cbacked Under52c76.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-24.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2713…43b2backed Under53c75.88$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Over47c72.96$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.7414351.7%74 W · 69 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x24a3…7c66backed Over58c70.69$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.692050%10 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under51c65.2$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.2528253.5%151 W · 131 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Over48c65$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.88250%41 W · 41 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Under52c63.6$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9830464.8%197 W · 107 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick63cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over48c63.35$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.8989245%401 W · 491 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over48c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.214349.7%71 W · 72 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.