Asian League · resolved market
Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25962af031135fe7f088a17b400c502aed533099f4858d0892627895c790dbf0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,285
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,362
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,285 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 26c | 5,829$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 95 | 26.3%25 W · 70 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 74c | 4,472$3,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147.3 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 26c | 1,279$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.84 | 1,662 | 36.2%602 W · 1,060 L | -34.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 72c | 929.57$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.48 | 2,520 | 39.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 74c | 522.5$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.74 | 1,357 | 45.5%617 W · 740 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e8…88a4backed Over | 74c | 450$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 26c | 445.72$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.81 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…5d3abacked Over | 73c | 410.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.96 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 74cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 20c | 338.76$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.96 | 1,080 | 41.7%450 W · 630 L | -15.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 28c | 317.58$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.61 | 1,319 | 56.7%748 W · 571 L | +64.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 26c | 287.4$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.72 | 1,235 | 49.9%616 W · 619 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97dc…d8a5backed Over | 73c | 274.04$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.04 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4871…0742backed Over | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 69cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 74c | 263$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.8 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 7c | 253.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.16 | 593 | 42.5%252 W · 341 L | -28.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 14c | 244.66$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.32 | 1,035 | 41.6%431 W · 604 L | -33.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 297 | 45.1%134 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 26c | 195.58$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.85 | 1,766 | 50.2%887 W · 879 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 74c | 195.58$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.85 | 335 | 52.8%177 W · 158 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 72c | 185$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.23 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…390dbacked Under | 27c | 183.11$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.44 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cea…371bbacked Over | 74c | 148.87$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.27 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Over | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 92 | 69.6%64 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4789…994abacked Over | 74c | 135$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 75cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbb…48f2backed Over | 76c | 128.11$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.11 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Over | 74c | 121.64$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.23 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…efefbacked Over | 69c | 120.61$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.39 | 14 | 92.9%13 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 73cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 73c | 120$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 27c | 118.74$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.36 | 225 | 44%99 W · 126 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 72c | 105$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 398 | 55.8%222 W · 176 L | +31.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 214 | 49.1%105 W · 109 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb262…9b98backed Over | 72c | 83.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -5.3wins | -0.16per pick | 62cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf529…755fbacked Over | 76c | 79.7$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 74c | 65.32$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.68 | 2,456 | 37.9%931 W · 1,525 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…4057backed Over | 72c | 55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 27c | 55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 30c | 52.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Over | 76c | 49.93$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 75 | 74.7%56 W · 19 L | +13.6wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 30c | 40.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d5…11f0backed Over | 75c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 73c | 36.15$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -30%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8890…cefbbacked Over | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcfe…4b94backed Over | 76c | 15.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.72 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 1.5this page
- Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Al Fayha Saudi Club (-2.5)Damac Saudi Club won
- Spread: Damac Saudi Club (-1.5)Damac Saudi Club won
- Spread: Damac Saudi Club (-2.5)Damac Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.