Asian League · resolved market
Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdffb186c410f8157215df4fc2f1a5d0931aacd24878b9fbe0aff2ec54001b65f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,376
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,386
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,376 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f42…a8febacked Under | 77c | 4,000$3,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 23c | 3,969$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.46 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 75c | 2,267$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.67 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 77c | 2,129$1,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.18 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 26c | 2,098$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 25c | 1,472$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.94 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 19c | 1,119$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.31 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 8c | 807.44$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.6 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…12aebacked Over | 8c | 483$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.63 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 22c | 472.48$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.76 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Over | 25c | 394.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 16c | 375.47$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.32 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 43c | 346.79$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.66 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 74c | 323.83$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.65 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Under | 80c | 318.95$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.29 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 158 | 26.6%42 W · 116 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 25c | 274.71$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.66 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 73c | 271.88$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.75 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Over | 9c | 250$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 26c | 249.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 108 | 23.1%25 W · 83 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 66c | 248.01$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.8 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…36a2backed Over | 15c | 236.31$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.78 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 20c | 186.89$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.89 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Over | 15c | 166.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 22c | 145.7$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.38 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53eb…90ebbacked Under | 65c | 140$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…5856backed Over | 39c | 138.28$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.66 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…729cbacked Over | 31c | 125.01$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.32 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 62c | 120$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 197 | 53.8%106 W · 91 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 26c | 94.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 181 | 38.7%70 W · 111 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 74c | 83.39$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Over | 20c | 80$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbb…48f2backed Under | 70c | 78.78$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.78 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…92b5backed Under | 67c | 71.15$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.15 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa150…44ebbacked Over | 20c | 68.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -44%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 71c | 67.63$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.93 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 32c | 66.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 39c | 62.13$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 334 | 52.7%176 W · 158 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 75c | 61$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.46 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d70…d0a6backed Over | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e35…3655backed Over | 28c | 55.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Over | 20c | 54.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 241 | 62.2%150 W · 91 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21dd…0b83backed Over | 23c | 52.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7468…3d24backed Over | 23c | 52.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3080…79e0backed Over | 21c | 48.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 71c | 24.04$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89e9…c4a3backed Under | 66c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 3.5this page
- Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Al Fayha Saudi Club (-2.5)Damac Saudi Club won
- Spread: Damac Saudi Club (-1.5)Damac Saudi Club won
- Spread: Damac Saudi Club (-2.5)Damac Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.