Asian League · resolved market
Gangwon FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x974d3647702842916351788d8745a5ec23d3fa9c8c61866e3271f992929cbbd7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,220
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,994
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,220 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 27c | 1,506$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.99 | 1,766 | 50.2%887 W · 879 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 28c | 1,235$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.79 | 1,235 | 49.9%616 W · 619 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Over | 72c | 992.46$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.21 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9b61backed Over | 72c | 938.87$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.73 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 26c | 899.14$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.31 | 1,662 | 36.2%602 W · 1,060 L | -34.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 28c | 818.32$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Under | 29c | 699.98$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 136 | 31.6%43 W · 93 L | -13.8wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 71c | 552.94$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.56 | 2,520 | 39.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Over | 73c | 541.49$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.64 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -8.3wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -25%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Over | 72c | 518.35$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.55 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Over | 72c | 414.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.92 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Over | 69c | 292.03$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.68 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 28c | 239.21$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.88 | 1,991 | 54.1%1,078 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…19e5backed Over | 73c | 192.99$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.78 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Over | 72c | 188.79$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.92 | 45 | 71.1%32 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59b4…73e0backed Over | 70c | 178.57$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.57 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 72c | 154.03$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.13 | 396 | 49.7%197 W · 199 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 68c | 151$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.32 | 120 | 74.2%89 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7210…521fbacked Under | 28c | 146.38$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.99 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Over | 73c | 143.8$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.47 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x156e…cf6fbacked Over | 70c | 141.43$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.43 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 15c | 117.65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 1,080 | 41.7%450 W · 630 L | -15.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffb…a60ebacked Under | 27c | 99.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -7.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc7…0451backed Under | 30c | 95.34$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 78c | 93.8$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.64 | 346 | 59.8%207 W · 139 L | +49.2wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe709…84d7backed Under | 30c | 85$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeceb…29a4backed Over | 72c | 66.57$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae4…e4a2backed Over | 73c | 66.12$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.09 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Over | 72c | 52.53$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 154 | 55.8%86 W · 68 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 29c | 51.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 78c | 51$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 376 | 62.5%235 W · 141 L | +61.2wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7eae…8c33backed Over | 72c | 50.64$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…d9b8backed Under | 30c | 50.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Under | 27c | 42.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 28c | 42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 71c | 41.9$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 398 | 61.8%246 W · 152 L | +56.9wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 80c | 41.2$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 377 | 59.4%224 W · 153 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 26c | 40.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 1,357 | 45.5%617 W · 740 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82d…7882backed Under | 30c | 34.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b4d…dd64backed Over | 72c | 29.82$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaec…7855backed Over | 72c | 15.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gangwon FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Gangwon FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Gangwon FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Gangwon FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Gangwon FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.