Asian League · resolved market
Gangwon FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x329e0aee60dac73537f5e3bc67ad357bc07202f6b7fdd87d3a7f1a9c75a6df5e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,447
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,301
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,447 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 21c | 388.83$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.17 | 345 | 60%207 W · 138 L | +49.3wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 79c | 363.49$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.14 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 79c | 266.85$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.05 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 24c | 241.35$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.35 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 22c | 221.65$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.36 | 375 | 62.7%235 W · 140 L | +61.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Over | 33c | 172.73$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf22b…8f84backed Under | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 22c | 123.15$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.12 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 72c | 95$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 29c | 88.1$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.55 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 29c | 57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a88…4e57backed Over | 39c | 51.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 225 | 44%99 W · 126 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 35c | 39.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 375 | 59.2%222 W · 153 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 37c | 38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 74c | 18.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gangwon FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Gangwon FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Gangwon FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Gangwon FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Gangwon FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.