Asian League · resolved market
Gangwon FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa70b4e5590df322fdc29320c135fc2a49358adf27fbb3721c05833636226aa82
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,752
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,742
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,752 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16e5…6373backed Over | 55c | 2,710$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490.49 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 45c | 1,680$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.03 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Over | 48c | 1,232$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.76 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 54c | 779.52$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.01 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 45c | 643.93$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.16 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 44c | 459.25$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.13 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 40c | 406.47$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.56 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 52c | 389.75$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.08 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Over | 55c | 300$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.13 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Under | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 136 | 31.6%43 W · 93 L | -13.8wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 52c | 269.81$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.22 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 53c | 152.54$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.09 | 396 | 49.7%197 W · 199 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 34c | 150$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 226 | 42.5%96 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Over | 70c | 142.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 128 | 61.7%79 W · 49 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 57c | 142$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ec…a9c4backed Over | 59c | 129.5$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.75 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 60c | 122$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.2 | 345 | 60%207 W · 138 L | +49.3wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Over | 57c | 116$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.12 | 279 | 64.9%181 W · 98 L | +28.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Under | 53c | 103$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.41 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 48c | 102.19$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +15.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 57c | 92.37$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.46 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x156e…cf6fbacked Over | 58c | 90$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc59c…6b58backed Over | 45c | 85.87$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.64 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.20per pick | 44cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 73c | 80$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.4 | 120 | 74.2%89 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 64c | 65.3$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 375 | 62.7%235 W · 140 L | +61.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…1a00backed Under | 27c | 65$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.45 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3d…3681backed Over | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 90.9%20 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 77cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 47c | 59.55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…d0d2backed Under | 46c | 54.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.67 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Under | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.25 | 225 | 44%99 W · 126 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 45c | 46.4$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.59 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…c2d0backed Under | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Under | 59c | 26.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Under | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Over | 52c | 24.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 69c | 14.51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gangwon FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Gangwon FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Gangwon FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Gangwon FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Gangwon FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.