TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$102,130
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$105,299

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,130 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa710…23c4backed Under49c77,981$38,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,210.6355053.1%292 W · 258 L+20.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16bb…8492backed Over51c55,000$28,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,95086548.7%421 W · 444 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over51c15,236$7,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,465.6492054%497 W · 423 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc263…1e83backed Under50c3,298$1,649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,649.1844648.7%217 W · 229 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under11c2,817$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.78,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over50c2,465$1,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,234.2211,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over50c2,237$1,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,118.252,29348.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under23c2,213$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.959,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over79c2,171$1,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.1612,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78b0…9f1abacked Over51c1,931$985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$946.3739047.4%185 W · 205 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Under2c1,250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011914.3%17 W · 102 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick10cpaid+289.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xadf0…00fbbacked Over50c1,167$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.6849250.4%248 W · 244 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1cb…2345backed Over50c1,103$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.56855.9%38 W · 30 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5001,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4902,40748.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L-62.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09af…9728backed Under50c962.66$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.3389153.5%477 W · 414 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Over50c825$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.062,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Over51c694.49$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.312449.2%61 W · 63 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Under50c685.75$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.8829446.6%137 W · 157 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over48c643.81$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.068,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3006,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c76…862dbacked Under50c541.98$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.9910343.7%45 W · 58 L-9.9wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-22.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Under52c480.77$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25026747.9%128 W · 139 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a16…9d73backed Under50c455.3$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.6515949.7%79 W · 80 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa5b…9b61backed Under50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008847.7%42 W · 46 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Over50c396.89$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.4555052.4%288 W · 262 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x068c…582ebacked Over53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.3638455.2%212 W · 172 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over51c360$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.41,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under44c344.49$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.5819143.5%83 W · 108 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over50c342.76$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.381,28449.5%635 W · 649 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Under50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15059150.3%297 W · 294 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf58c…0b79backed Under51c300$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1536854.4%37 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xab92…19e5backed Under50c249.48$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.746446.9%30 W · 34 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-10.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6e46…42dfbacked Under50c237.24$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.6217250.6%87 W · 85 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Over51c220.36$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.9828154.4%153 W · 128 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x64ca…69c0backed Over51c204.55$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.23475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+59.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd38…99d4backed Over65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7026759.2%158 W · 109 L+17.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0979…fc8abacked Under9c189.28$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7110215.7%16 W · 86 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98af…b216backed Under12c184.13$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.799315.1%14 W · 79 L-9.5wins-0.10per pick25cpaid-37.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x085b…ab9fbacked Over29c171.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.9233934.5%117 W · 222 L-9.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Under41c159$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.2982741.1%340 W · 487 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb0b…62cdbacked Over51c156.86$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.8679543%342 W · 453 L-3.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2986…763bbacked Over51c147.04$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.0516353.4%87 W · 76 L+0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over56c113.18$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.82,24357.6%1,293 W · 950 L+37.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Over50c110.35$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.1844451.1%227 W · 217 L+1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Over66c110$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.55,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fad…28b8backed Under50c102.9$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.453046.7%14 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaebf…b45fbacked Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6170…03bdbacked Over51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.043748.6%18 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fac…6b48backed Over51c90.2$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.2560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2003…af6fbacked Under44c80$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.212446%57 W · 67 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+22.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Over50c70$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3572247.6%344 W · 378 L-12.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Under50c69.12$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.5654152.1%282 W · 259 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under21c62.91$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.25,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cd7…8e4abacked Under50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303644.4%16 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over52c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.85,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeceb…29a4backed Under50c58.54$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.273943.6%17 W · 22 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-21.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over51c57.41$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.134,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bda…edd3backed Under37c55.57$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.521540%6 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78d7…291dbacked Under31c55$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.052642.3%11 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under44c52$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.881,72350.3%867 W · 856 L+55.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e75…0143backed Over49c51.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.028240.2%33 W · 49 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under50c50.9$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.451,04349%511 W · 532 L+3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73d6…09edbacked Under50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256549.2%32 W · 33 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Under48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241,49845.3%678 W · 820 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over60c49.49$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.9310,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61d3…189abacked Over52c48.95$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.523854.2%129 W · 109 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x41d8…7233backed Over51c48.8$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.918560%51 W · 34 L+7.1wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7eae…8c33backed Under50c46.6$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.32245.5%10 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3194…eb07backed Over57c43.86$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.862568%17 W · 8 L+4.4wins+0.18per pick50cpaid+37.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under43c43.86$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8629547.1%139 W · 156 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x07e0…ac5cbacked Under50c39.6$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.82955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff68…8379backed Over51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2226940.5%109 W · 160 L-8.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Under45c39$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6426854.1%145 W · 123 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Over52c38.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.362554.2%339 W · 286 L+18.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xffb3…fbafbacked Over51c37$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.13633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Over29c34.9$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.786,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under44c31$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.643,20851.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L+146.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Over51c31$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.321,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Over51c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.72,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bcf…c678backed Over56c29.48$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8324654.9%135 W · 111 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa150…44ebbacked Over51c29.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.41425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x341b…b92cbacked Over51c28.24$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.841346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa04d…1488backed Under44c27.84$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2544737.4%167 W · 280 L-24.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7268…78abbacked Over51c23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2720040%80 W · 120 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc50…7fdebacked Under50c20.62$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.316546.2%30 W · 35 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over51c20.43$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.0170455%387 W · 317 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ddc…7b90backed Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77ec…16aebacked Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89ab…89acbacked Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107856.4%44 W · 34 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over63c19$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.0331038.4%119 W · 191 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+28.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.