MLB · resolved market
Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb71d17e882dd39cafa0647a84431ff863dc603f014901a5e81097384cc6c6ab7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $102,130
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $105,299
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,130 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 49c | 77,981$38,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,210.63 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Over | 51c | 55,000$28,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,950 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 51c | 15,236$7,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,465.64 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Under | 50c | 3,298$1,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.18 | 446 | 48.7%217 W · 229 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 11c | 2,817$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.7 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 50c | 2,465$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,234.22 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 50c | 2,237$1,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118.25 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 23c | 2,213$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.95 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 79c | 2,171$1,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.16 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Over | 51c | 1,931$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.37 | 390 | 47.4%185 W · 205 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Under | 2c | 1,250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 119 | 14.3%17 W · 102 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +289.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Over | 50c | 1,167$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.68 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Over | 50c | 1,103$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.5 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Under | 50c | 962.66$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.33 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 50c | 825$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.06 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Over | 51c | 694.49$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.3 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Under | 50c | 685.75$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.88 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 48c | 643.81$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.06 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked Under | 50c | 541.98$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.99 | 103 | 43.7%45 W · 58 L | -9.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Under | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 267 | 47.9%128 W · 139 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Under | 50c | 455.3$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.65 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9b61backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Over | 50c | 396.89$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.45 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Over | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 384 | 55.2%212 W · 172 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 51c | 360$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.4 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 44c | 344.49$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.58 | 191 | 43.5%83 W · 108 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 50c | 342.76$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.38 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf58c…0b79backed Under | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…19e5backed Under | 50c | 249.48$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.74 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…42dfbacked Under | 50c | 237.24$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.62 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Over | 51c | 220.36$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.98 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ca…69c0backed Over | 51c | 204.55$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.23 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Over | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 267 | 59.2%158 W · 109 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked Under | 9c | 189.28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 102 | 15.7%16 W · 86 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed Under | 12c | 184.13$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.79 | 93 | 15.1%14 W · 79 L | -9.5wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x085b…ab9fbacked Over | 29c | 171.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.92 | 339 | 34.5%117 W · 222 L | -9.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Under | 41c | 159$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.29 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Over | 51c | 156.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.86 | 795 | 43%342 W · 453 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…763bbacked Over | 51c | 147.04$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.05 | 163 | 53.4%87 W · 76 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 56c | 113.18$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.8 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Over | 50c | 110.35$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.18 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 66c | 110$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…28b8backed Under | 50c | 102.9$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.45 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…b45fbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6170…03bdbacked Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fac…6b48backed Over | 51c | 90.2$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2003…af6fbacked Under | 44c | 80$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 124 | 46%57 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Over | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Under | 50c | 69.12$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.56 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 21c | 62.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd7…8e4abacked Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeceb…29a4backed Under | 50c | 58.54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.27 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 51c | 57.41$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bda…edd3backed Under | 37c | 55.57$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78d7…291dbacked Under | 31c | 55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 44c | 52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 50c | 50.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.45 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73d6…09edbacked Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 60c | 49.49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.93 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d3…189abacked Over | 52c | 48.95$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 238 | 54.2%129 W · 109 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41d8…7233backed Over | 51c | 48.8$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.91 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7eae…8c33backed Under | 50c | 46.6$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3194…eb07backed Over | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +4.4wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 43c | 43.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 295 | 47.1%139 W · 156 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07e0…ac5cbacked Under | 50c | 39.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff68…8379backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Under | 45c | 39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 268 | 54.1%145 W · 123 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Over | 52c | 38.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffb3…fbafbacked Over | 51c | 37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.13 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 29c | 34.9$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 44c | 31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 51c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcf…c678backed Over | 56c | 29.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.83 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa150…44ebbacked Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x341b…b92cbacked Over | 51c | 28.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Under | 44c | 27.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 447 | 37.4%167 W · 280 L | -24.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7268…78abbacked Over | 51c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 200 | 40%80 W · 120 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc50…7fdebacked Under | 50c | 20.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 51c | 20.43$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 704 | 55%387 W · 317 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddc…7b90backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77ec…16aebacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89ab…89acbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 63c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 310 | 38.4%119 W · 191 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5this page
- Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta BravesAtlanta Braves won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 10.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 11.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-3.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-4.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-6.5)Atlanta Braves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.